Tuesday, May 29, 2018

#41: Don't Let Them Hide the Statue's Torch

Thank you for continuing to share these messages with your friends, if you are not already on our mailing list, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, A Path Forward to November 3, 2020, every two weeks, which means there will be a total of 100 missives before the Presidential election of 2020, in which our country will select a whole new course.

For all the talk about Trump’s approval ratings, the Mueller investigation, Stormy Daniels, and North Korea, the outcome of the off year elections in November is up to us. 

Between now and November, we know that Robert Mueller will announce findings and further charges. We will be unsurprised when Mueller contends that Roger Stone and others used Wikileaks and other conduits to coordinate Russian efforts with those of the campaign. That’s collusion, and the only remaining issue will be whether Mueller can prove that Trump was a party to it all. All that might happen or might not happen is explained nicely in this “interactive” presentation by the New York Times.

Because they fear things that could happen, Trump and Giuliani are pushing back every day against Rod Rosenstein and Mueller. That’s why they have enlisted an entire television network at their service. That’s why we were treated to the Trumped up “Spygate” allegation. The good news is that after the Congressional bi-partisan “Gang of Eight” heard their Trump-mandated classified briefing about an FBI informant within the Trump campaign, they had nothing to say. The tacit agreement among the Gang of Eight is that Schumer and Pelosi will not dwell on this bizarre incident while Ryan and McConnell would not hint at support of Trump’s allegations. 

There continues to be a cohort of Senate Republicans who are bent upon defending the rule of law. They are protecting Mueller and Rosenstein. To their discredit, they are not countering Trump’s daily preemptive assaults on the FBI. It is the shame of America that we have arrived at this place, where a president has free rein to eviscerate people at will. In past decades, leaders of this party have advanced civil rights, championed environmental initiatives, and promoted democracy. Who would have thought that the Republicans would leave that all behind in favor of becoming the party relentlessly attacking the Federal Bureau of Investigation?

We already know what to do about it--- win in November. Before then we need to attend to pending matters outlined below, having to do with how a caring and just society protects children. On the political front, between now and November, the gigantic issue is whether we will choose to do at a huge scale what we already know how to do. 

First, we know how to identify and battle voter suppression and increase participation. We know how to find voters to register, taking advantage of digital systems. As outlined in missive #39:

There are any number of online efforts to significantly increase voter registration, but none any more aggressive and expansive and relentless than Rock the Vote, which has helped to register millions of people. If you could magically get them into the heads of thousands of people, especially people who are new to the voting process that would be excellent. And collectively you can. Rock the Vote has any number of tools, including state by state analysis of what one needs to do to register and vote, a guide to overcome barriers that vote suppressing states have erected, and a link to the online registration sites of 38 states.

Second, we understand and take advantage of the fact that we are part of the biggest political movement since the 1960’s. As outlined in missive #35:

There were two ways that this movement was uncommon, both lessons for us now. First the peace movement reached way beyond the rolls of people who would have been expected to participate in it. Like the Women’s Marches of January 2017 and 2018 and the organization of Indivisible and other resistance cells. It activated into its ranks millions of people who had thought themselves to be non-political. In some cases, it caused people to change a political persuasion that had long been adhered to in their family. New questions were being asked around the kitchen table, and all of a sudden Ozzie and Harriet’s kids were in the streets. You knew you were not in ordinary times.

Third, we have embraced that this work must entangle us with specific campaigns. As underscored in missive #23:

Campaigns are won or lost from their inception, not on the day the results are posted… There will be 60 or so competitive Congressional races so you are going to find one nearby, even if you have to consider a neighboring state. Use the excellent online resources which are available to you to help sort things out. These include Indivisible and Swing Left, either of which can help you sort out targeted races… After you pick the race, go see the candidate or one of her or his aides if they are within traveling distance. If you don’t live in their district, join an Indivisible cell or other organizing group that will “adopt” the candidate. If such a group doesn’t already exist, you can organize it yourself.

So, there is no alternative but to get it and get it done, no? And while we are attending to these longer term matters with the near obsession that befits the times, let’s remember that there are children who need our help this week in America. In the earlier days, Donald Trump made it a point to indicate his regard for Dreamers, 800,000 young Americans brought here during their childhood by their parents. It was fashionable for him and others to say that Barack Obama’s Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) overstepped presidential powers, but that Congress should figure out a way to protect these young people.

Ever since, Trump’s approach (guided by the inexhaustibly malevolent aide Stephen Miller) has been to do everything he can do to keep Dreamer protection from happening. He has loaded his proposals with cuts to immigration and with advocacy for the wall, motivated by the gladness it brings to the closed heart of nativist Americans, all forgetting that their parents or grandparents came here from somewhere else. They are covering the Statue of Liberty, trying to hide the torch. No more “huddled masses yearning to breathe free”, for them. There are three things we can do.

1) Spur the Discharge Petition in the House


The federal courts have ordered the Trump administration to continue to enforce DACA, but this is only a temporary defense. This week will provide the best opportunity to get DACA moving again. Moderate Republicans need two more signers from their own party on their “discharge position” to force a vote on the House floor, plus a little more negotiation with wall-opposing Texas Democrats. Whether or not the discharge position itself is successful, it could spur the long awaited House debate. Here’s John Kasich’s argument for the petition.

Pick at least three Republicans from the Congressional delegation of your state and/or neighboring state. Start with those have seemed most moderate in the past. Call them and insist on bi-partisan consideration of ways to protect Dreamers in the House this week or next. Look up their direct number or call the Capitol switchboard at 202-224-3121 and ask them to transfer you.

2) 
Get the Senate Moving Again
The Senate fell apart in its previous floor debates on Dreamers and on broader immigration issues. They can’t be let off the hook. Some Senators are looking at Trump’s recent revocation of Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for various protected populations as a new way to start discussions.

At minimum, they realize that they are going to take up the plight of the Dreamers ultimately, and would like to demonstrate that they are indeed Senators. 
Let’s try to connect with a Senator who has indicated his impatience with a lack of action, but is not a boat-rocker, Republican James Lankford of Oklahoma. Call James Lankford’s DC office and say that you are one of countless Americans who are depending upon him for a fresh voice and new action. Thank him for his conscientiousness on this issue and say you are hoping for more. His number is 202-224-5744. His new legislative director is Sarah Seitz. Even though Senate emails have been problematic, you can take a run at connecting with her at Sarah_Seitz@lankford.senate.gov.

3) 
Bolster the Advocacy of Dreamers and Other Young Immigrants
There are numerous ways we can lend our support to Dreamers. The best first step of all is to add ourselves to the 400,000 people who are part of United We Dream, which is youth led. With our help, they are not going to let these hopes be dashed.

For all of us, this is another day at the “office”. Collectively, we aim to correct a calamitous turn in American political life. We want desperately for that correction to emerge, beginning this fall. However, we understand that what we want is not the issue, it is what we choose to do between now and November.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Wednesday, May 16, 2018

#40: How Will You be a Part of the Blue Wave?

Thank you for continuing to share these messages with your friends, if you are not already on our mailing list, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, A Path Forward to November 3, 2020, every two weeks, which means there will be a total of 100 missives before the Presidential election of 2020, in which our country will select a whole new course.

It is a little mind numbing, no? How do you separate the claims and the counterclaims? How do you distinguish between the disappointing Trump actions and the hugely damaging? When can you let yourself be heartened by something positive that might happen in the Congress, and when must despair wash over you before you can even try to conquer it?

These times take some sorting. Remember that this President is intentionally unmoored, not just as a part of his being but as a political tactic. That is going to unsettle a citizen’s equilibrium on a regular basis. Remember also that some advocates gain your attention by telling you the worst-case scenario. Just because the most right-wing member of the House of Representatives calls for this or that governmental action does not mean it is going to materialize tomorrow. The legislative process is meant to generate heat as well as light. And it is certainly doing that.

So, if the news bite is something outrageous like “Representative Mark Meadows, leader of the House Freedom Caucus, proposed today that Americans be jailed if they don’t pay daily homage to Donald Trump”, don’t start packing a duffel. There are still checks and balances. Our system is bending right now, but it doesn’t mean it will break.

We need to pay careful attention to which members of Congress are making public statements, and when those statements are consequential. Sometimes legislative leaders selected by their caucuses will signal their specific intentions or even their willingness to compromise on an issue. Statements by leaders of the House of Representatives Paul Ryan or Kevin McCarthy (Republicans) and Nancy Pelosi or Steny Hoyer (Democrats) carry much more weight than pronouncements from individual members. The same is true in the Senate with Mitch McConnell and John Cornyn (Republicans) and Charles Schumer and Dick Durbin (Democrats). 

Watch also for representations made by the chairs of major committees, or the “ranking” member from the Democratic minority. Take note of the higher level of cooperation between Richard Burr and Mark Warner (the Republican chair and the ranking Democrat of the Senate Intelligence Committee). When one of the two says something about the Russia investigation, they will stay connected with the other, even in the face of political differences. Note the lack of such cooperation in the House between Intelligence Committee Republican Devin Nunes and Democratic ranking minority member Adam Schiff, and don’t expect that their statements reach across the aisle. Because of his committee powers and because his pronouncements are less frequent, when Senate Judiciary Committee Chair Charles Grassley says that Donald Trump should not fire Robert Mueller, it counts more than ten other Senators saying the same thing.

We can also learn to recognize when elected officials overuse the microphone. For instance, the ever-vocal Ted Cruz does not have a following in the Senate Republican caucus. His pronouncements on what others should do are not influential. Tom Cotton’s following is small. In the House, public statements from Republican moderates like Charlie Dent are intended to rally the fifty or so colleagues that he needs in order to be treated with more care by Speaker Paul Ryan, but the moderates have rarely gotten traction they have sought. Things are different in the Senate. Because Mitch McConnell holds only a two-vote majority, any public statement by a Republican Senator who might desert him on a key vote means a great deal. That’s why there are always reporters looking for comments from Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins, Bob Corker, Lindsay Graham, Jeff Flake, John McCain, and even Rand Paul. They have not been as spirited as we would have liked, but we still have what’s left of the Affordable Care Act because of Republican Senators.

Donald Trump was not the first president to make Americans miserable. The now nearly sainted John Adams wanted to put dissidents in jail for sedition. Until later in life, he and Jefferson hated each other. Landowners were terrified of Andrew Jackson. James Buchanan turned the threat of a Civil War into a certainty. Woodrow Wilson was a racist. George W. Bush let Dick Cheney make up a war.

In the face of the pain this man has wrought, collect rare moments of grace. Former presidents and their spouses sitting with Melania Trump at Barbara Bush’s funeral was meant to communicate that we still stand for something together, at least for now.

This misery will be tolerable only if we can make it pass. Our momentum is growing for the fall elections. We will vigorously contest the Senate and will win back the House. And that will provide considerable relief from the worst Trumpian havoc that would otherwise be visited upon the people. 

The Michael Cohen/Rudy Giuliani adventures will continue to bring rewards, and Robert Mueller ever so patiently does the work that he was called upon to do. Tough times require some people to step forward when they didn’t initially intend to do so. Thank you for that, Rod Rosenstein, and Senators Jerry Moran and Charles Grassley. And yes, we do get guilty pleasure from the work of Michael Avenatti.

There is even a tiny bit of movement in Congress on important issues even as most of the time is spent on political positioning. We can and should do these three things to support work in progress.

1) Convince Republicans to Dare to Help the Dreamers


The discharge petition is a rarely used process in the House of Representatives that forces consideration of a bill on the House floor. Republican moderates hope to use this process to require Paul Ryan and the House to move forward on four separate legislative approaches on immigration regarding Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA). Trump is still blocked by the courts from throwing the Dreamers out, but Congress must act on the longer-term solution. Paul Ryan is afraid that a floor debate on a bi-partisan compromise would put Trump in a position where he would veto the bill because it doesn’t wall us off from Mexico.

With Democrats expected to join moderate Republicans, advocates are only seven signatures away. The closer they get, the more leverage moderate Republicans will muster to force a vote. Check this list and see who has signed thus far. Pick a Republican from your state or from a nearby state, call their office and ask them to join this effort. Or pick from these seven Republican members, who signed a letter to the Speaker last December telling him they wanted action on DACA! Remember, even if they don’t end up taking this step, it is worth it to let them know you are out there.
  • Chris Smith of New Jersey: 202-225-3765
  • Scott Taylor of Virginia: 202-225-4215
  • Dan Newhouse of Washington: 202-225-5816
  • Mimi Walters of California: 202-225-5611
  • Mike Simpson of Idaho: 202-225-5513
  • Brian Fitzpatrick of Pennsylvania: 202-225-4276
  • Ryan Costello of Pennsylvania: 202-225-4315
2) Give Long Overdue Criminal Justice Reform a Boost
Criminal justice reform has been a project of Jared Kushner, whose father was incarcerated in years past. Progress has been slow, even though there were broad bi-partisan agreements on sentencing reform and on prisoner education near the end of the Obama presidency.

There is still some bi-partisan interest in getting something done this year. The House is prepared to move along a tiny bill on inmate education, eschewing the more impactful but more contentious sentencing reform. The Senate wants to take up both issues. This placces Judiciary Committee chair Charles Grassley in conflict with the House sentencing reform obstructionist Jeff Sessions.

Write a quick note to Grassley and Democratic assistant minority leader Dick Durbin to thank them for doing the right thing.
  • Chuck Grassley 202-224-3744
    135 Hart Senate Office Building
  • Washington, DC 20510

  • Dick Durbin 202-224-2152
  • 711 Hart Senate Building
  • Washington, D.C. 20510
Sign up to get action alerts on this and other efforts from the Leadership Council on Civil and Human Rights, started over fifty years ago by Dr. Martin Luther King.

3) 
The Elephants Need You to Remember Their Plight
The narrative was that Ivanka Trump had talked to her father, and that we were going to fully shut down the ivory trade and elephant trophy hunting. It turns out that there is still hemming and hawing, and talk about case by case evaluation.    

And, of course, there has been even more absurd talk that we need to allow permits to kill elephants in order to raise funds to keep people from killing elephants.

There are members of Congress who are staying with this issue, and even exploring how Facebook has created a path for people selling illegally secured animal parts. Please call Senator Chris Coons of Delaware to thank him and to ask him to be an ongoing leader in elephant protection. 
  • Chris Coons 202-224-5042
This is how it will be going for a while--- a few meaningful legislative actions here and there, followed by a huge showdown on the budget in late summer, as Trump threatens to close down the government if we refuse to build him a wall. It will all lead up to a colossal referendum on the Trump presidency in the November 6 off year elections. What are you doing right now to be a part of the blue wave?

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Wednesday, May 2, 2018

#39: In November We'll Be Defining the Nation

Thank you for continuing to share these messages with your friends, if you are not already on our mailing list, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, A Path Forward to November 3, 2020, every two weeks, which means there will be a total of 100 missives before the Presidential election of 2020, in which our country will select a whole new course.

Right after the election in November 2016, one despairing father wrote this to his far-flung family:
I am heartsick about the short term future of America and those it touches and serves. But I also believe that the future of democratic ideals and the arc of justice are bigger than one person. I will not let that person bring me down. We’re all left with choices about dealing with adversity. We are going to expand our physical, spiritual and intellectual borders and we will stand tall.

And this is how a wise son (about to become a father himself) responded:
I really wanted to greet her with a world that was improving on its modest gains of the past 8 years, rather than struggling to defend them… but perhaps, as with Obama and racism, Clinton’s election would have only veiled misogyny, misinformation and bias the public needs to address or see dwindle away with demographic change. There’s a lot of hope to be taken out of the tolerance and potential of the younger generation. We’ll be defining the nation by the time she’s ready to go out on her own.

His daughter is not nearly ready to go out on her own, but the nation-defining the son contemplated and hoped for is going on right now. The Prime Minister of France talks to Congress and raises whether we intend to display any global leadership. Do we? The new tax law’s true impact on deficits becomes clear. Rather than considering the poor, House Speaker Paul Ryan fires the chaplain who prayed that the poor be remembered. Who will we remember tomorrow?

Even worse, in Donald Trump’s presidency, the “misogyny, misinformation and bias” are on full display every day. And every day, we contest the mean-spiritedness and the indifference to all others that is Trump’s hallmark. Every day, someone is mocked or eviscerated or lied about or dismissed. If they had been offered a hand up, it is withdrawn. If they or their children had received protection, it is removed, To Donald Trump, the 9,000 Nepalese in America losing their protected status, transgendered members of the military, and Honduran refugees caravanning and now seeking asylum are all the same person, the other. 

Who would have thought that the dreams and soul of a nation would be the predominant prize of an off-year election? Has there been an election in your life that you have looked forward to more, that is worthier of your continual engagement from now to November 6? With a blue wave on that day, we will regain the House, put the Senate in play, and start to redefine who we are as a people. All that in one day.

Right now, special Congressional elections are showing a huge swing back in our direction. Let’s not get to November 7 and regret that we didn’t take full advantage. Let’s not wish we had worked a little harder, or closed ranks more tightly after the primaries. Most of all, let’s not forget our biggest advantage - the enthusiasm gap, which gained us our recent election victories in Virginia and Pennsylvania.

That’s where the rest of the son’s letter comes in: There’s a lot of hope to be taken out of the tolerance and potential of the younger generation. There is no more important part of the highly possible but not inevitable November blue wave than which persons 18-35 choose to register and which persons 18-35 choose to vote.

Think about this. These youngish persons are more disapproving of Trump than any other age cohort. They are more conscious of individual freedoms, more at home in our pluralistic America, more focused on the rights of LGQBT soldiers, more wary of trade wars, and more conscious of the wealth mal-distribution of the tax bill. However, of all age cohorts, they are the least likely to register to vote and the least likely to choose to vote after they register. Whether or not we are ourselves 18-35, what can we do to elevate and swell these glorious hopes for tolerance? Here are three things:

1) Take the Time to Rock the Vote


There are any number of online efforts to significantly increase voter registration, but none any more aggressive and expansive and relentless than Rock the Vote, which has helped to register millions of people. If you could magically get them into the heads of thousands of people, especially people who are new to the voting process, that would be excellent. And collectively you can - Rock the Vote has any number of tools, including state by state analysis of what one needs to do to register and vote, and a guide to how to overcome barriers that vote-suppressing states have erected. They have partnerships with a number of national brands and are seeking more.

Most importantly, Rock the Vote has two uncommon tools for you to advance today. First are the links to the online registration sites of 38 states and the District of Columbia. You can use that link everywhere. If you aren’t necessarily youngish yourself, email, tweet or text it to the ten youngest potential voters you know and ask them to pass it on. Send it to college students you know. Add it to your email signature for all your emails until the election. Make it the subject of a Facebook post, if you and that company are not estranged.

You can also expand this movement by finding organizations who are interested in adding to their websites a “white label” customized version of the Rock the Vote online platform. Here’s how they sign up.

2) 
Intensify Registration Efforts in Arizona
There is no state where the Latino vote looms larger than in Arizona. Democrat Krysten Sinema is leading in the polls for the election that will replace the retiring Jeff Flake. Ultimately, there will be a vacancy in the John McCain seat as well, as he considers retirement. The governor’s race is in play, and the 2nd district Congressional seat is open, and thus is a prime take back opportunity.

Luckily there is an excellent coalition in Arizona called One America that has taken on the assignment of making sure that Latino voters are not only registered, but are civically engaged. Among the coalition members is Mi Familia Vota, which many resisters have supported. Any contribution we can make to this movement today with count in November

3)
Sharpen Your Role in Getting Out the Vote
Voter registration is just the start. Not to bring up a sore point, but there were enough people registered for us to win in November 2016. In key parts of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, we were not able to generate the voter enthusiasm and turnout levels that we had achieved in November of 2012.

As we eventually move our efforts to convincing primary and general election registered voters to vote, it’s good to develop and apply some standards to the campaigns, party organizations or even Indivisible cells who are hosting these efforts. There is a hierarchy of effectiveness to get out the vote efforts and we can help made sure we have the highest impact. Front porch, phone or email requests that reach out to random voters and just stress the civic duty of voting aren’t going to get it done. Wherever we can, we need to convince voters that are likely to be with us that they can be part of an extraordinary blue wave. Researchers say that the fear of a low turnout is much less likely to elicit a strong turnout than the prospect of a high turnout.

As veteran campaigners know, the rest of the story is in the targeting. Campaigns which may end up being flooded by volunteers and thus might send them into the field unguided need to be cured of those practices. There is a case to be made for sweeping through strong Democratic precincts, but in every other place, we must find out from these campaigns and organizations what kind of list preparation is in the works. Insist now on the use of records of voter frequency, and the ongoing identification of people who may end up in our camp. That will help us get far better results from our get out the vote efforts.

Today has brought the release of the questions that Robert Mueller wants to ask Donald Trump. It is a sign that this discussion of obstruction of justice and collusion is not even close to over. Whichever additional Trump associates are charged with whatever crime, the Mueller report will provide an all new energy to our collective resistance. It is not just Mueller who is eager to hear these answers.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

#38: We Will Regain and Rediscover Our Own Country

Thank you for continuing to share these messages with your friends, if you are not already on our mailing list, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, A Path Forward to November 3, 2020, every two weeks, which means there will be a total of 100 missives before the Presidential election of 2020, in which our country will select a whole new course.

Now that we have drifted further into uncharted waters, it’s appropriate to examine the additional dangers of a presidency that unquestionably is unmoored, rather than one that one might think is merely but perennially misguided.

If you are unmoored, and you are in uncharted waters, you can collide with anything, often without any advance warning. The consequences of such collisions are not known in advance. And what if there are too few people watching out for hidden or even obvious obstacles and barriers?

All of this explains the dilemma of those of us who are resisting. How could we not be askew in the face of this “morally unqualified” president, where the willful lies pile up and where the bullying is relentless and where the learning is absent? This has gotten scary. The Sara Huckabees scurry to tell us Trump tweets on Syria are all consistent with each other and with foreign policy plans, but all sentient beings (even including members of Congress) know better. Who doesn’t get it that every day is a new day with its new bizarre behaviors? 

Mercifully, Donald Trump is not a part of a new and growing movement in America. With the help of the Russians, and of James Comey! (with his announcement a week before the election), and weaknesses in the Clinton campaign, racism, and sexism, he threaded the needle. He won an election he did not expect to win and would not win again. He, and we, are saddled with him having a job that he did not expect to have. Weirdly, his challenge and our challenge is nearly the same - to get through all of this without injury to himself and others. It is not just Senator Bob Corker that has called attention to the president having “minders”. There are cabinet secretaries and staff members (James Mattis and John Kelly, even in his reduced role) who serve in that role every day.

Our job now is to have even more people standing between him and the Constitution he would seek to shred, or between him and other nations he would strive to vilify. That is what we have signed up for, from now to perhaps as long as January 2020. Occasionally, we have even taken delight in other more unlikely and inconsistent intervenors. Paul Ryan, thanks for any time you talked the President down when he forget the Congress and the Constitution. Susan Collins, your swing vote has not been there as much as we would have liked, but when it has appeared, we certainly have appreciated it. You too, Lisa Murkowski, John McCain, Jeff Flake and Bob Corker. To House moderate Republicans who are deciding not to run again - now that you are unshackled, could you vote what you believe more often, eschewing your ritualistic genuflection in the direction of the White House? It has becomeembarrassing. What can Trump do to you now? To the cabinet secretaries who believe the agency they head should exist, please identify yourself! And thank you. As the New York Times said on Monday, isn’t it time for you to step forward a few steps more?

Still, you can look in the mirror for the ultimate intervenor. You are the one, with the millions of other resisters by your side. Together, you are the ones that saved the Affordable Care Act, kept the wall from being built, and got a budget passed that funded the Environmental Protection Agency and social services. You are the ones that make the rest of the world understand that America intends to be a beacon again sometime in the future.

You are the ones who are creating an enthusiasm level about winning back the House in November that has petrified Congressional Republicans and accelerated retirements. You’re obsessed by swing districts, and you are working in small groups and marching and registering voters and sending money. You are as dangerous, or even more dangerous to Donald Trump than Robert Mueller and Stormy Daniels. Donald Trump wants you to be quiet and go away. Is that sufficient motivation?

We ended up with a federal budget where almost none of the worst of the Trump/Mulvaney cuts materialized. But remember their playbook. The new tax law will be shepherding in trillion-dollar annual deficits. Then the assaults on social welfare spending will begin anew. Tax cuts for the rich will drive budget cuts for the poor. That all can be forestalled until a new Congress is seated next January. This is one more reason to take back the House. 

In the meantime, Congress is paralyzed on a DACA bill, and most everything else. The eyes are on Mueller, on Michael Cohen’s paramour payoffs, on Trump himself and on whether he will fire deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein. Let’s do three things that will help continue our resisting momentum:

1) Thoughtfully Thanking Thom Tillis


As this missive discussed above, we need Republican elected officials to defend the Republic, for which we stand. The candidates for this all too rare stalwart behavior most often come from the ranks of Senators who don’t plan to run for reelection, such as John McCain, Jeff Flake and Bob Corker. Now comes an unlikely candidate, North Carolina conservative Senator Thom Tillis. Tillis has joined Lindsay Graham and Democrat Chris Coons in introducing the Special Counsel Independence and Integrity Act, which would set up additional roadblocks to Trump firing Robert Mueller. The bill isn’t going to pass, but it is a fresh and important signal to Trump. Tillis irritated a not inconsiderable number of his supporters when he went in this direction. Here is his explanation in the Rocky Mount NC newspaper. Thom Tillis has other problems, such as being mixed up with Cambridge Analytica, but nonetheless it is time to write and thank him for his efforts in upholding the role of law in the face of Trump’s threats to fire Mueller.
Write Thom_Tillis@tillis.senate.gov.

2) 
Give Some Counsel to Swing Left
In the darkest days after the Trump election, two organizations stepped forward to help grow a movement. The work of Indivisible (which was founded by savvy former Congressional staffers) has been indispensable. So has the work of Swing Left, which is fully focused on us taking back the House. The people who started Swing Left were relative political unknowns, and they have delivered every step of the way. They invented “district funds” which are escrow accounts you can contribute to in swing districts prior to the selection of our candidate, so she or he will get an early boost. Now comes Swing Left with an all new question posed to the resistance.  They are already targeting 70 Republican seats, all in districts where we clearly can compete.  They ask us all.   Should they expand the map of targeted races too try to generate the bluest of all blue waves? 

Unfortunately, they have framed the question as if this year is like any other Congressional election year. Their worry is that helping candidate in race #77 (whose chances are a longer shot) could weaken our efforts for candidate in race #28 (whose chances are very good.) This worry pays insufficient attention to the fact that every close race we create is one Republicans will have to defend, and that expanding the map is a great way to make the blue wave the election narrative of the year. If we can do that it will fan additional voter registrations and higher turnout, and that too will help in Swing Left’s present list of targeted races. It’s time to write Swing Left at team@swingleft.org and tell them that it will not diminish current targeted races to expand the map.

3) 
Dare to Dream About the Senate
There has been reluctance to dream about taking over the Senate.  This is because we are preoccupied with the re-election of several Democrats who won in 2018 and who are seeking re-election in states that Trump carried in 2016.   These include Heidi Heitkamp of North Carolina, Joe Manchin of West Virginia, Claire McCaskill of MIssouri and several others. Beyond playing defense, now it appears that there are take-back opportunities, beyond winning the open seat in Arizona that Jeff Flake is vacating, and beating Dean Heller in Nevada. The wild dream is that Representative Beto O’Rourke has started so strong in Texas that he may have a chance to beat Ted Cruz. An even more promising opportunity has appeared in Tennessee. Former Democratic Governor Phil Bredesen is leading in the polls in the race to fill the seat left open by the retiring, Trump disaffected, Bob Corker. Now would be an excellent time to give Phil Bredesen a financial boost

Every week Donald Trump unravels a little bit more. He gets a little angrier with his staff, a little more disconnected in his public statements, a little less grounded. Every week it seems even more astounding than it was the previous week that this man became president of the United States. It doesn’t work to respond to these woeful circumstances with despair. Instead each of us finds within themselves with new energy to resist, to fight back, and to regain and rediscover our own country.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Wednesday, April 4, 2018

#37: The Time is Coming for Donald Trump to Tell it to the Judge

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From the first minute of the Trump presidency, we have resisted. It was not as though we wouldn’t have had some satisfaction if he had tacked toward the middle or showed the slightest interest in the obligations of the job or some desire to improve his skills. From the beginning, it was worse than we feared at least in one very notable respect- he has no commitment to democracy. All of the worst presidents from James Buchanan forward have at least recognized the nature and the wondrousness of the great democratic experiment, however they have tarnished it.

It doesn’t seem like a commitment to the self-governance of the American people is too much to ask, but it is now clear that it will not be forthcoming from this president. This is an unprecedented time, where aides fall by the wayside as soon as they aren’t fawning enough, or they vary in the slightest from his Fox-spawned world view. Donald Trump is not willing to be any kind of President, and he is proud and protective of that unwillingness.

It is extremely unlikely that he will be impeached but is not even a close question as to who would be a less dangerous president between him and the vice-president. Mike Pence would be the most politically conservative president of modern times, but nonetheless he would attend to the requirements of the job more fully in one day than Donald Trump has in any month that he has been elected. You could pick your poison, but if you did, why not reduce the danger to security and our democracy by choosing Pence, who at least recognizes there is someone in the world besides himself?

That choice is not likely to come before us. Donald Trump’s presidency will survive. We will not ever know all of his offenses, whether or not they are “high crimes and misdemeanors.” Those we know for sure will be discounted by a sufficient number of Republican Senators to protect him from being removed from office, however much they end up fleeing from him in every other way.

Even without much prospect for impeachment, the role of the courts in checking Trump’s abuses of power is growing. At least for now, the president is constrained by federal courts from walking away from DACA. The courts have forced the modification of his various travel bans, and they have slowed the Trump/Pruitt pillaging of environmental regulation.

On the personal culpability side, those who are seeking to hold Donald Trump legally responsible for doing the things he relishes doing are all making progress. What has emerged are several solid opportunities for the judicial system to be used as a check against the misuse of power.

First, Stormy Daniels, as much as she has captured the nation’s attention span, will not necessarily be a lasting problem, since evangelicals have already given Trump a get out of jail free card. Nor is he facing a big problem from former Playboy Playmate Karen McDougal, who is also seeking release from her non-disclosure agreement. Donald Trump has not subjected either woman to tweet-assault, and both have stressed that their relationships with him were consensual. However, Trump still has a groping issue before the courts. A New York Supreme Court Justice thus far has refused to throw out Summer Zervos’ defamation lawsuit. If Trump’s appeal of the Court’s denial of his stay is turned down, a deposition would be next. 

Second, the resistance has been making the emoluments argument since Trump was elected, and that case is still alive in federal court. The Constitution prohibits officials from receiving “gifts, emoluments, offices or titles from foreign states.” Maryland and the District of Columbia have argued that Trump is receiving such gifts as foreign governments gravitate to the Trump International Hotel

Of course, the biggest personal challenge for Donald Trump is the Mueller investigation itself. Given the methodical way that Robert Mueller has proceeded so far, it is surprising how much conjecture there is in the mainstream press that there was no collusion between Trump and Russia. Why would one conclude that Roger Stone and Paul Manafort and Michael Flynn never got Trump’s consent about Russia, since it is abundantly clear that Trump was otherwise involved in every aspect of his campaign? It would be wise to wait to draw these conclusions. And while we are waiting, it would be good for us to school ourselves on the obstruction of justice by Trump and his sycophants. This includes a dozen or so separate incidents including the timing of the Sally Yates and James Comey firings. It includes the memorable statement crafted by Trump and Hope Hicks that the meeting between Russians and Donald Trump Jr and others was about the adoption of Russian orphans. And it is all laid out in two stunning podcasts on collusion and obstruction on NPR’s Embedded program.

Any or all of these three legal actions could end up being a major barrier to Trump’s worst intentions. Happily, they all have their funding sources, and no bake sales or bike-a-thons are necessary. Thus, all of us could turn to other fronts to boost the legal challenges to Trumpism, including taking these three steps:


1) Keep Fighting to Protect Public Lands


Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke decided to “go big” in his reduction of Bears Ears National Monument by 85% from its original 1.35 million acres. This decision was all about advancing the interests of oil companies. The battle to save Bears Ears is instead about listening to the Navajo, Hopi, Ute and other tribes who fought so hard to create the monument in the first place. Your participation in this effort will not only show solidarity with the tribes, but it will send Zinke and Trump a signal that you stand behind federal land conservation protections. The tribal coalition offers you the opportunity to sign up for regular updates, contact your member of Congress, and underwrite the legal action.

2) 
Save the Modern Day Census
A lot of people are confused by the dust up over the Trumpian effort to add a citizenship question to the Census in 2020. Why not change the short form (which is designed for us to complete in ten minutes) to find out who is a citizen? This citizenship question has not been asked since the 1950s, since the Census is intended to establish our total population, regardless of our citizenship. The data is then used to allocate Congressional districts among the states, and it is used in numerous federal funding distributional formulas, so that the funding can be responsive to people and communities in need. Adding the citizenship question is intended to decrease the count (and thus the relative political influence) of areas of the country with heavier immigrant presence. We do not want or need to widen the growing gulf between the government and immigrant communities. The addition of this question will generate an undercount in the census

It’s time to see whether your city and/or state is among the several who have already joined the coalition to battle this new provision

3) 
Continue the Fight Against Voter Suppression
Previous missives have emphasized two major organizations fighting fiercely against voter suppression. It seems odd that election officials and some state legislatures would work to inhibit voters from voting, but that’s exactly what can and does happen. Both the Brennan Center for Justice at New York University and the American Civil Liberties Union have been instrumental in rooting out these practices. The efforts of another long-time player are growing. The League of Women Voters has the status, the experience and the local networks that are all essential to expanding voting in America. Find out what they are doing in general, and what they are doing near you

To stop the daily Trump assault on the American democracy, we will use every single legal tool that is at our disposal, so why not maximize the use of the legal system itself? Our fore-parents expected that it would be an inhibition to the misuse of power, and for that, there is no better time than the present, don’t you think?

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

#36: Responding to the Sounds of Republicans Whistling in the Dark

Thank you for continuing to share these messages with your friends, if you are not already on our mailing list, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, A Path Forward to November 3, 2020, every two weeks, which means there will be a total of 100 missives before the Presidential election of 2020, in which our country will select a whole new course.

You can definitely understand their motivation if you hear someone whistling as they walk through a long, dark, foreboding, seemingly endless tunnel. Shapes appear in the murkiness and it is difficult to keep your footing. Why wouldn’t you try to develop some reasons why everything is going to be all right? Or in the alternative, at least you would entertain a narrative by which you could take certain steps, things won’t be as bad as you had feared. 

The seat that Democrat Conor Lamb just won in Pennsylvania is somewhere around 119th on the list of possible wins by Democrats! Republicans are in the dark tunnel, and are terrified of the potential of a blue wave. So they are trying to tell a different story saying that the Democratic victory was due entirely to the appeal of Conor Lamb's centrist policies. But Republican Congressman Charlie Dent counters those tales--- “Denial isn’t just a river in Egypt. I have seen wave elections before.” 

Any giddiness within the resistance about November prospects is unwise. Do we remember that the Access Hollywood tape was supposed to have made Donald Trump unelectable in the first place? But, what we are displaying as the creators of a blue wave in the fall is not giddiness, but relentlessness. There’s a difference.

The tactical argument, made by Republican consultant Jeff Roe in Sunday’s New York Times, is that Republicans will significantly reduce their November losses if their candidates stay with Trump rather than fleeing from him. The issue here is whether a Republican incumbent needing some of the numerous Trump-discontented swing voters in a heavily contested district could find such voters by ending their Trump genuflection. Roe argues that such a dive in the direction of the center by incumbents could jettison core Republican votes and end up being self-defeating. Roe brings forward his fantasies about the tax bill and even the appeal of Trump’s beginning the construction of a wall. Yes, please, we are all hoping fervently that Republicans will all get behind wall construction, and Mexico paying for it, as their central campaign theme. But, his more important argument is the idea that this election is primarily about who energizes their base. If that were true, that wouldn’t be so bad, but the truth is even better --- the election this fall is only partly about who energizes their base.

Trump and his henchpeople are trying to summon their base when they trash Mueller, or act as a Fox News broadcasting outlet. They saw the election results in Pennsylvania, and last fall in Virginia, and it has become self-evident that the resistance to Trump is translating to higher motivation and participation of those opposing Trump. They understand that the fall elections aren't just who one supports, it is who casts a ballot. Trump fears that if he stops tweeting untruthful things, his supporters won’t cast ballots.

Swing Left has been targeting 65 Republican held seats. The Cook report has been arguing that somewhere around 80 are in serious play. Somewhat belatedly coming to the conclusion that things are getting interesting, the House Democratic Campaign Committee is now talking about 98. We need to win 24. How do we do that besides energizing the base?
Meanwhile, Congress continues to attend sporadically to the legislative role in running the country. Accordingly, Congress is putting our environment at risk, and not just through actions they generate on their own.   They are allowing Trump, Scott Pruitt and Ryan Zinke to work their will on the enforcement of environmental laws that were devised over forty years by Democrats and Republicans working together. We can do three things right away.

1)Stop the Poison Pen Riders


Congress needs to pass a spending bill by Friday, and they can’t do it without Democratic votes. Even with that situation, House Republicans have proposed 80 separate appropriations “riders” that are designed to weaken environmental protections.  

For instance, last year Republican Senators John McCain, Lindsay Graham and Susan Collins joined in helping Democrats protect methane gas regulations that Trump and Pruitt were trying to eviscerate. Now there is a House rider being advanced that would exempt oil and gas companies from methane rules.

This is one for the member of the House of Representatives from your own district. Call or email her or him and insist that they oppose the riders. Or, since Charles Schumer and his Democratic colleagues in the Senate are in a strong negotiating position, call your Democratic Senator’s staff and tell them how much this means to you.

2) Keep the Focus on Climate Change
  Who knows what will happen with Donald Trump and the Paris Climate Accords going forward. There were some signals that he might be softening about removing the United States from the agreement, but then again there were arguments that he might help protect Dreamers through DACA or might limit gun purchases by 18 year olds, so don’t hold your carbon-added breath… 

Instead, please boost the growing coalition of Governors who have formed their own Climate Alliance, who aren’t waiting for the federal government, and are showing their own leadership on climate change. Seventeen Governors have already joined the coalition. Check the list to see if your Governor has joined. If she or he hasn’t call their office today and seek to rectify the situation. While you are at it, do a check to see how your city or town is lessening its own carbon footprint. If your councilpersons don’t know the answer to this question, they should find out the answer and give it to you. Trumps climate position will be increasingly isolated if more states get with the program, the more Trump and his climate position will be isolated.

3) Time to Join the Herd
  For a moment it seemed as if Donald Trump (spurred by Laura Ingraham!) was with conservationists in battling what he called the “horrors” of the trade in elephant tusks. But the danger has increased that the import of elephant tusks will again be allowed. Ryan Zinke has included trophy hunting proponents in his “advisory committee” and import permits may soon be issued.  

There are a lot of good ways to help elephants survive. Right now, it seems as if being part of a world-wide movement to block markets for tusks is an outstanding approach. Wild Aid is an inventive advocacy organization that is using social media to get you to Join the Herd. This is your chance. 

It does seem endless, this Trump-opposing quest we are on. It seems as if he has been the President of sorts for a decade, at least. The rewards of being part of the opposition have been there from the beginning, as the Affordable Care Act was wounded, but saved by our collective efforts. With the November elections approaching, and the primaries preceding them, the rewards will start to increase--- if we keep on doing the right thing, every day.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington