Wednesday, July 25, 2018

#45: You Know That You Can Make This Man a Footnote

Thank you for continuing to share these messages with your friends, if you are not already on our mailing list, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, A Path Forward to November 3, 2020, every two weeks, which means there will be a total of 100 missives before the Presidential election of 2020, in which our country will select a whole new course.

When Donald Trump is asked about Russia killing journalists and answers that “our country does a lot of killing also,” and when he calls a Putin plan to interrogate a former US Ambassador an “incredible” idea, he’s lost touch with the magnificent quest for self-determination that sent the colonists to Lexington and Concord. It has become clear that Donald Trump has bought into an equivalency based upon power, but Americans have not. His greatest praise for another nation or its leader is “strong” and ours is “free”. We know the difference between democracy and authoritarianism. The fact that our President does not recognize that difference is the scariest thing we can say about him, among a host of scary things.

This cannot, must not, and will not stand. Collectively, we have it within ourselves to make this man a footnote, a figure from an awful time who will have wounded our nation greatly but from which we will resolutely recover. Through our efforts together, we can set the stage for a celebration on November 6, 2018 which will shake our nation, and mark the beginning of Trump’s political demise.

Through Comey’s late announcement, Putin’s interference, our own slipping and sliding, and lack of voter enthusiasm, in November of 2016 we fell 70,000 short of the votes we needed in the places we needed them. The firewall was breached, and the man who did not expect to be president and who was not ever been for a minute qualified to be president became the President.

Why would we let that become a major moment in our planet’s history? We won’t. The coming blue wave does not depend upon you to convince your Fox addicted cousin to share your political beliefs. It depends upon your efforts to flood this election with committed voters: millennials who didn’t make it to the polls last time, women who have figured out what Trump stands for in their lives, independents who in special elections have turned away from Trump in huge numbers, and the Democrats and progressives who have been obsessed with creating a blue wave since the fateful day.

It is all within our reach. Consider this:
  • There is daily consternation that Trump’s “base” remains loyal to him. Most often, that base is defined as self-identified Republicans, and much is made when they are undaunted by Trudeau taunts, Playboy Playmate payoffs, or NATO negativism. However, at this point, only 27% of registered voters identify as Republicans. As Nate Silver emphasizes, the fact that as many as 90% of Republicans support this or that Trump action should never be the news lead - the significance of Trump’s high level of disapproval is in the broader electorate.
  • The overall disapproval of Trump has shown an important dwindling over time in his support among people who identify themselves as “moderates” or “independents”. You can’t win an election without doing well with them. These voters have registered their disapproval on issues like Trump’s choice to believe Putin’s denial of election meddling
  • As important as Trump’s low approval ratings (around 42-43% of voters) is the unlikelihood that he will be able to do anything to give those levels a significant boost. Unemployment levels are already low, and these levels would worsen during a trade war. Polls show more voters disapproving of the tax bill and Trump’s health care approaches than those that approve. He is a known quantity - where is his potential upswing, especially as Mueller moves forward? Digging deeper into these low levels of approval provides even more good news for resisters. The percentage of people who strongly disapprove of Trump is twice the percentage of people who strongly approve. This is the enthusiasm gap that is driving the nearly unprecedented level of political activity by Indivisible, Swing Left, the Democratic Party itself, and countless independent organizations and individuals.
  • Special elections for vacant seats have a different dynamic than the elections that will be held in November, which should cause Republicans to be extremely thankful given the returns so far. Even in very solid Republican districts the shift to Democratic candidates that we have all generated has been very significant
  • Even better, Congressional districts where there has been high quality polling of this year’s races have delivered excellent results for those of us who are trying to generate a wave. When conservative Republican Dana Rohrbacker is on the ropes in conservative Orange County, California, you know that times are changing.
  • Since the Parkland slayings, youth registrations have become even a higher percentage of new voter registrations, especially in swing states. The intensive voter registration drives across the country will help generate the blue wave, because young voters overwhelmingly favor Democratic candidates.
  • The generic vote tests who voters would select between an unnamed Democratic congressional candidate and an unnamed Republican. At this point the polling average gives Democratic candidates a 7.4% advantage. At election time, that is consistent with taking back 40-50 House seats. Of course, we can do better than that if we make sure our voters turn out. 
Once we have considered these data points, we can’t help but be focused on November and generating the wave. Of course, there remains the small matter of what we were believing in November 2016 - that Donald Trump had only the tiniest chance of being elected. That was true, but it came to pass. How can we give ourselves over to this painful, dangerous process one more time? How can we dare believe that if we act tirelessly, we can start to stop this destruction of America? Because it is all of us, together, and we are more dedicated to this outcome than we ever have been.

So, let’s do these three things right now.

1) Take Voter Registration to An All New Level With Michelle Obama


Happily, the new force in the national voter registration effort is Michelle Obama. The emergence of her national effort called “When We All Vote” takes nothing away from such stalwart national organizations as Rock the Vote or countless local efforts. Instead, it will draw new attention to the need to register and keep us oriented to this mission from now to November.

Increasing the participation of millennials is especially important to creating the blue wave. The appeal from Michelle Obama is simple and pointed. When We All Vote is set up to recruit you as a volunteer, provide links for easy voter registration, take your donation, and keep you posted about national or local events. Some of the races we are contesting will be decided by a thousand votes or less. It is not hard to imagine a situation in which voter registration alone will spell the difference. As Frank Bruni writes in the New York Times, “We got it wrong in 2016. We can get in right in 2018. There’s a far side to the American disgrace, a way to contain the damage, and it’s both utterly straightforward and entirely effective. It’s called voting. And from now until November 6, we must stay fantastically focused on that--- on registering voters, turning them out, donating time in the right places.”

While we are working on voter registration, we should remember that the list of newly registered voters is available in most states. A small group could take on the task of writing notes to those people in their community who have just signed up.

2) 
Devote New Efforts to Gubernatorial Races, Including Supporting Stacey Abrams
The intensive efforts by resisters and the political climate that Donald Trump has created has opened up more gubernatorial races this fall. This would be important in many years, but it is especially important because congressional and state legislative district lines will be redrawn in response to the 2020 census. In many states, Governors will be in a position to veto redistricting plans that hijack the electorate with gerrymandered maps. This is what happened in many states after the 2010 off year elections

The Democratic Governors’ Association is hoping to take back several states, including Illinois, Maryland, New Mexico, and Wisconsin (where Scott Walker is seeking a third term.) A special prize would be Georgia, where lawyer, politician, author, and businesswoman Stacey Abrams is aiming to become the first African American woman to become governor of that state. Thanks to Donald Trump, Abrams is facing the weaker of the two Republican candidates, Secretary of State Brian Kemp, rather than the candidate backed by the outgoing governor, Nathan Deal.

It would be nothing but a good thing to help Stacey Abrams. If you are in a state that has no meaningful gubernatorial race, you could adopt her race as your own. If you aren’t yet in a position to donate, sign up and keep an eye on Georgia. 

3) 
Recommendations from Your Co-conspirators
Readers of this missive have good ideas. One encourages attention to state initiatives that reform legislative redistricting processes, which will be before the voters in Michigan, Missouri, Utah and Colorado. The story here is that beyond Republican shenanigans in 2010, parties in some states have worked together on redistricting that is intended to increase the number of safe seats (making trades to protect incumbents) and reduce the number of swing districts. This is not in the interest of voters. It would be a good thing to look at your state’s redistricting process and find out who is trying to make it better and who is not.

A friend writes urging we all read and support Robert Reich’s lucid appeal to four Republican Senators

Another reader of this missive who is worried about obsessing on the news recommends Krista Tippett’s advice: “The news is never the full story of our time. It’s not the last word on what we’re capable of. It’s not the whole story of us.” 

We have a huge opportunity, right now, between now and November 6, to write an all new chapter in the story of our time. There are elections coming up. Powerlessness is a fiction. Get back in the driver’s seat, please.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Thursday, July 12, 2018

#44: Any Flagging is Sending Donald Trump a Kiss

Thank you for continuing to share these messages with your friends, if you are not already on our mailing list, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, A Path Forward to November 3, 2020, every two weeks, which means there will be a total of 100 missives before the Presidential election of 2020, in which our country will select a whole new course.

On some days, you are just worn down. You have been focused on being a part of the resistance for over 600 days, since November 2016. On the best days, you allow yourself some recognition of the progress we have made together. You permit yourself to talk with your friends about the excellent opportunity to take back the House of Representatives in November 2018, and that brightens you further. You even allow yourself to think about the much longer shot prospects of taking back the Senate. Jon Tester fights back! Beto O’Rourke gains momentum! 

Then there are the other days in which you cannot even believe this is happening. When this history is written over the next couple of decades, we will discover that things within the Trump presidency were even worse than we knew. Last week, we found out that Trump consulted with Latin American heads of state over how they would feel if we invaded Venezuela! Now he has tweeted “I have confidence Kim Jong Un will honor the contract we signed and even more importantly, our handshake. We agreed to the denuclearization of North Korea.”

Well, Donald Trump of course you didn’t. You agreed in a made for TV event to “work toward” denuclearization. Your faith in the honor behind a handshake with a murderous dictator is absurd, given he just accused you of “gangster-like diplomacy.” You swell with great pride over your show meetings with Kim and with Putin and save your invective for Justin Trudeau and NATO. You want more than anything to never be duped, but you are “played” on a regular basis.
Donald Trump, this is what making America greater than it is would look like if we had a president who was seeking such an outcome.
  • We would be a beacon for the world in the exercise of individual freedoms. Rather than seeing a free press as an enemy, we would have a president who celebrates it as a key element of our strength.
  • We would have a president that skips the “trust” of Putin and Kim and Duterte and remembers that they preserve power by jailing and killing dissidents.
  • We would invoke “national security” in our trade dealings only when national security is at issue. We would be ashamed to utilize these presidential powers against the Canadians, who have died to defend our security.
  • We would eagerly participate in international climate change efforts to prevent irreversible environmental harm.
  • We would see NATO as a fundamental defense against countries who wish us ill.
  • We would demonstrate global leadership. Who would have ever predicted that the number one foreign policy achievement of a Republican president would be to expand and accelerate the global leadership of China?
In the next two months, it will seem like the resistance is being swamped by tactical decisions. How will the Supreme Court nomination of Brett Kavanagh influence the fall elections? Over time how can we protect choice, and gay marriage and countless other human rights now newly vulnerable? (Yes, we can and must). With the Supreme Court nomination under debate in the Senate drawing the interest of conservative voters, can we still expect an enthusiasm gap in our favor? (If we work hard enough to secure it). Will our own anti-Trump movement divide over issues like impeachment? (Sure, but we will stay together in all the most important ways). Will we remember to underscore health care as a central issue for the fall? (Yes, we will).

We don’t need to over-think this. First, we focus on what is before us--- putting a brake on the mindless destruction of the environment, human rights, equal opportunity and our position in the world by this president. We must increase our intolerance of distraction. It does not matter whether Alan Dershowitz is getting along with his neighbors. Or that Kelly Ann Conway had intemperate words with Anderson Cooper or anyone else that Kelly Ann Conway gets deployed to talk to.

Second, we work much, much harder than the other side, which we have been doing now since November of 2016. Any flagging is nothing more than blowing a kiss to Donald Trump, don’t you think?

And while we are attending to election year politics, Congress is in session. Here’s three things we need to do to try to keep them from having a weekly drawing on the House floor to determine which program to eviscerate:

1) Join the Fight to Save SNAP


Well, you knew that eventually the House of Representatives would get around to doing something mean-spirited about the Supplemental Nutritional Assistance Program (SNAP) which is the United States Department of Agriculture program that provides food stamps. A reader of this missive urges us to respond to this effort by the House to establish a work requirement for 5-7 million food stamp recipients. She says “there is so much racial injustice in food and discrimination of the poor that we need to be vigilant and do our part to change our own attitudes."

The work requirement is drafted in such a way that one wonders if the supportive House members ever met a food stamp recipient. There are already plenty of ways that USDA helps up-skill food stamp recipients and takes into account the multiple factors that drove them into poverty. There are already provisions that severely limit the issue of food stamps to able bodied persons. The new House approach seeks to change a hand up to a hand slap.

Luckily, the Farm bill is subject to Senate rules and thus will require 60 votes to close debate. Democrat Senator Debbie Stabenow of Michigan and the other Democrats who will serve on the Conference Committee will have a lot of leverage. Please call Debbie Stabenow’s office at 202-224-4822. Tell her how grateful you are that she stood up and tell her that you are counting on her to continue to do so.

2) 
Get the Senate Some Fortitude on Trade
Donald Trump has been such a misinformation machine on trade that it would be easy to conclude that he is misrepresenting everything. It’s not the case, but we aren’t going to go back any time soon to quieter, more productive bilateral or multilateral talks to resolve specific, legitimate claims. So, in this period of escalation we need to remember that it isn’t true (as Trump has maintained) that it is easy to win a trade war. Mexico, Canada, China and the European Union each have their own political stake in not being seen to capitulate. Also, identifying modest trade deficits or trade surpluses with a particular country is an awful way to figure out whether unfair trade practices are occurring.

Trump does not seem to be caught up to date on the ways in which global manufacturing investment has changed in the last two decades. When Harley Davidson announced it was going to shift some manufacturing to Thailand because of Trump’s steel tariffs, Trump said “Harley-Davidson should never be built in another country - never!” But Harley already has manufacturing plants in Brazil, India, and Australia, so never wasn’t going to be possible. And innumerable foreign companies have manufacturing plants in the United States.

Of all the disputes, the Canada trade war is the oddest, because Trump went into the first discussion admitting he didn’t know which country had the trade surplus. Trump is clearly reacting to Justin Trudeau’s refusal to bow. His use of bogus “national security” grounds to impose tariffs on Canadian steel is what has Senator Bob Corker doing battle on the Senate floor. He was able to get an 88-11 vote for a non-binding resolution calling for Trump to have Senate review before using national security as grounds for imposing a tariff. 

Senators are happy to have Corker be the one to feel Trump’s tweet-tirades. But ultimately other Republican Senators from the Armed Services and Foreign Relations Committees will have to step up if we are to maintain any international standing at all. Call any or all of these for tell them our place in the world matters and then it falls to them to protect it:

Senator Cory Gardner of Colorado (202) 224-5941
Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina (202)224-5972
Senator Marco Rubio of Florida (202) 224-3041
Senator Ben Sasse of Nebraska (202) 224-4224

3) 
Our Fellow Resisters Have Some Good Advice
We are heartened to receive notes from recipients of these missives offering their own counsel on how to move forward in these times, including the above counsel on food stamps. One activist recommends this David Leonhardt column. It argues that our understandable opposition to Brett Kavanagh could cause us to forget the issues like health care which are most likely to generate a blue wave. I agree that we should always put health care in a dominant position, but I believe that any number of Supreme Court confirmation issues could generate an electoral boost, including choice and gay marriage.

From Vermont we have heard a seconding of our recommendation that we all participate in projects where we customize and send postcards to voters in swing districts. This writer notes that there are several suppliers of names for postcards--- resisters should find one that works for them. Here’s another: Sister District Project.

Two other notes of note, one commending a recent David Brooks speech at Davidson College for its thoughts on way forward. The other demonstrates that Donald Trump’s approval rating has declined in every state of the union since January of 2017. That isn’t so surprising, since January 2017 was the apex of his approval, but it is delicious information nonetheless. 

One could weary of being urged in these missives to be focused and relentless in one’s contribution to the blue wave. If there was any other way (besides focus and relentlessness) to win back the House and (possibly) gain control of the Senate, this missive would recommend that action early and often. We are doing the only thing we can do, and the rewards will be reaped.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Wednesday, June 27, 2018

#43: How We Stop Awful Things from Happening

Thank you for continuing to share these messages with your friends, if you are not already on our mailing list, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, A Path Forward to November 3, 2020, every two weeks, which means there will be a total of 100 missives before the Presidential election of 2020, in which our country will select a whole new course.

No one said for even a minute that this was easy. Just remember that when commentators say that “Trump still has his base,” that amounts to just a bit more than a third of American voters. If you keep working on independents, and you keep on making certain that those seeking a new direction REGISTER and VOTE in November, this particular election will absolutely be a blue wave, and it will provide the best sort of brake on some of the worst things that this totally bizarre American president can do.

Maybe when you are awash in despair you remember Elizabeth Kubler-Ross’ path breaking “On Death and Dying.” You are recalling her five stages of response to terminal illness: denial, anger, bargaining, depression and acceptance. Now feel the cool breeze as you realize the Trump stages are entirely different. Here's what you may have been thinking:
  1. Disbelief (November 2016) There was a tiny chance of that happening, of the “firewall” being breached, even with the last-minute Comey announcement. But I still can’t believe he is the President of our country. The hurt I feel for America is overwhelming.
  2. Befuddlement What do I even do about what I am hearing? I am going to have to sort his out, get some equilibrium. I am going to be a part of the resistance and not let this bring me down.
  3. Organization There is Indivisible, and Swing Left, and there are local independent groups, and special elections, and fighting for health care, and against the tax cut and for refugees and against environmental destruction. There are ways to weigh in every week. I believe that we are starting to get some traction. I know this matters. Even though this distresses me and I must find time away from it, I am fully dedicated to resisting.
  4. Traction (the present) Before, I was pleased that we all worked together to save the Affordable Care Act, even though I know that Trump still is wounding it regularly. I am pleased that there are still many millions of people receiving health care who otherwise would not be if the resistance had not acted. Now, refugee and immigrant parents are going to be reunited with their children. Whatever Trump says or does next, this is a huge victory for the resistance. We can build on this and work tirelessly all summer and early fall for a blue wave.
  5. Celebration On the morning of November 7, 2018, I feel as hopeful and renewed as in any time I remember. I know there are as many as two more years of Donald Trump, but we now have demonstrated with the election results that we can change the course of history. In no way are we done, but our work is paying off.
What could keep us from completing these five steps now that we are so far along? We could be self-indulgent. We could forget to attend to the business at hand while trading snarky comments about Ivanka or trying to figure out Melania Trump’s jacket. Worse, we could fall into a pattern of debating whether it is okay to harass someone while they are having a sandwich at a restaurant, which can be very easily resolved because it isn’t okay. Whatever moral outrage you might feel justified in expressing to Sarah Huckabee Sanders or other Trump minions, it is a narcissistic, politically self-defeating act. We wouldn’t want any of those distractions to define our next few months, would we?

Instead, we must remember and emphasize the four issues that will be providing us the traction and 
getting us the celebration. And we must focus on why each of them offer us a considerable political advantage, and work from now to November 6 to keep it that way.

Health care is a matter of reminding everyone that the “Pottery Barn” rule is now formally in play. Trump and his supplicants broke the Affordable Care Act, and they don’t plan to fix it. Independent voters will vote against them for this alone. We have skyrocketing premiums and fewer choices. Most important to voters, we are moving toward the point that the remaining elements of the ACA are in such a shambles that the treasured coverage for pre-existing conditions will diminish

The new tax law is the second key issue. On the personal income side, 80% of the benefits went to the wealthiest 1%. The American taxpayer so far is not “seeing” the benefits of Congress borrowing money from our children and grandchildren to pay for the cuts. Polls show the law is viewed unfavorably, taking away what Republicans hoped would be a fall campaign strategy. Moreover, as predicted, the greatest use of the corporate tax cuts has not been for wage increases or new investment in plants and equipment. It has been for corporate stock buybacks. 

The third issue is immigration, which sadly is more advantageous to us as a political issue than it otherwise would be because it will take until fall just to get the 2,500 children back to their parents. 67% of Americans were against the separation in the first place. Don’t count out the possibility of Trump working with Stephen Miller on some more “zero tolerance” and incarcerating undocumented border crossers or even asylum-seekers and their children in camps at military bases. Trump is also making sounds about closing the government on October 1 if he doesn’t get the wall. Congress would be under enormous pressure from voters to pass a bi-partisan bill to keep the government open.

Fourth, we will remain attentive to whatever indictments Robert Mueller will seek this summer.

These four issues are all we need to take back at least a score more seats in the House than the 24 we need. And the Senate is in play. The newest NBC/Marist poll has Bill Nelson four points ahead of Rick Scott in Florida. In Arizona, Democrat Kyrsten Sinema is polling more than 10 points better than each of her possible three opponents.

Let’s not let the sideshows created by the daily tweets distract us from staying with the biggest show, the issues that will decide this election. Maybe you yourself can’t believe that any independent voter could countenance Trump, given his indifference to things like, say, the Constitution, but you don’t want to take that for granted. Independent voters (especially women) are turning away from Trump, but they need all the encouragement and evidence we can provide, and the above four issues will tell the tale. These same four issues will motivate the new voters we can convince to register. Finally, they will help us bring back the voters who maddeningly and dishearteningly did not cast a ballot in 2016.

From this point forward, our opportunities to comment on pending legislation will be fewer, and our three things to do will be almost entirely related to the November elections. The consequences of resisters failing to pick a favorite Congressional race in which to engage are too painful to describe on the pages of this missive. Here are three things we all can do today.

1) Send Postcards to Voters Every Week


20,000 of us are already participating in Postcards to Voters, an innovative way to break through seemingly impenetrable barriers and reach voters who live in swing districts and who thus hold our country’s future in their hands. Postcards to Voters will provide your small group of advocates a list of voter addresses in selected Congressional districts. You add the artwork, personalized message and food for thought. You know that you can express yourself in such a way that your customized missives will be noticed by the recipients. It’s a great thing to do over coffee with friends.

2) 
Single Out Phil Bredesen
A year ago, it seemed hopeless to even think about trying to take control of the Senate, because 26 of the 35 seats being contested are already being held by Democrats. Additionally, a number of these Democratic seats (Montana, West Virginia, Missouri, North Dakota, Indiana) are in states where the Russia-aided Trump beat Clinton in 2016. Now, there are glimmers. Jon Tester in Montana and Joe Manchin in West Virginia are polling well. 

As noted above, there is an excellent chance that Democrats will take back the Arizona seat now held by sort-of-Republican Jeff Flake. All of this means that eyes are turning to Tennessee, where Republican Senator Bob Corker is not running, and where former Democratic governor Phil Bredesen has a narrow lead in the polls. This is becoming another excellent chance to pick up a seat. True as it is that all of these campaigns have big budgets and money is pouring into Tennessee, it would be a great week for you to do some pouring yourself. Give up your coffee for a week if you need to and help perk up Tennessee for Phil Bredesen. Here’s where to find the click to donate

3) 
Promote Online Voter Registration
Wherever you go, you can view people intently focused on their cell phones. There are any number of things that are easier to do now that the digital universe has arrived, and some of those things are well worth doing, such as registering to vote! Here, certainties come into play. You can be assured that the effort to take back the Congress depends hugely on the number of people who vote, which itself depends on the number of new voters register. In some states, as many as 2/3 of the new registrants will be part of the blue wave. Further, most states have online registration. Wouldn’t it be easy for you to do a Facebook post or a tweet or an email providing a link to Rock the Vote? Rock the Vote is there to help you. There will be as many as a dozen swing districts that end up getting decided by turnout from newly registered voters. That seems motivating.

The little things do rankle. During a recent public Congressional Medal of Honor ceremony, Donald Trump told an 89-year-old widow of a World War II war hero that he hoped she had voted for him. Of course, this was supposed to be a “joke”. No one is laughing, Donald Trump. You are dishonoring your office and our country. We aim to take it back.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

#42: We Will Not Let Him Be Our Country's Voice

Thank you for continuing to share these messages with your friends, if you are not already on our mailing list, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, A Path Forward to November 3, 2020, every two weeks, which means there will be a total of 100 missives before the Presidential election of 2020, in which our country will select a whole new course.

It isn’t as though Donald Trump is messing up what otherwise would be an unblemished global record of the United States. Over time, we have made common cause with countless dictators as they suppressed their people. Often, we have conflated the aims of capitalism with those of democracy. In the 1930’s, we remained isolationist for an interminable period while the world faced its greatest peril. Throughout our history, more than a few Americans have tried to shut the door and lock it right after their generation of immigrants made it past the Statue of Liberty.

Still, over time our democratic aspirations have kindled countless dreams that might not otherwise have emerged in Dakar or Prague or Bangkok. Our free speech and peaceful transfers of power have been well tested and have survived, and equal protection under the law has protected people who would be under siege in many other countries.. As a nation, we have been capable of international leadership, and generosity, and inventiveness. Why not celebrate that now and again we have lifted ourselves, and others? And, why not mourn that the man who “leads” our country is dashing those dreams and withdrawing that leadership, and even mocking the idea of such leadership, every single day?

The “nativists” whom he leads and who of course aren’t originally from here either, throw out “globalist” and “immigrant” as epithets. For all their bluster and meanness of spirit, they are elevated and almost never corrected within a party that once said with conviction that it stood for world leadership. In one decade, a Republican president asked a Canadian prime minister to put his country’s soldiers in harm’s way to defend our collective national security. In the next decade, a Republican president has invented national security as an excuse to invoke special powers in a trade dispute with Canada. As friendly and neighborly as another country could possibly be, Canadians are treated to egregious insults, while Russia and North Korea are praised. How is this possible?

We will make these dreadful moments pass. Within the Republican Party, there is a large cohort whose greatest pride at being Republicans was international diplomacy. Ronald Reagan was far more the renegade than the Bushes and treasured by many in his party for being so. But at this moment he would be ashamed of the behavior toward our allies displayed by Donald Trump.

Those within the White House who did not want a trade war have left, including economic advisor Gary Cohn. Larry Kudlow, Peter Navarro and Wilbur Ross are yes-people. Trump is the arbiter of these matters and he is locked over and over again in The Art of the Deal. Leaving aside that in the first place this was a made-up story about a real estate developer, it has no application to trade negotiations. 

It is monumentally different because there are countless United States interests with every country in which we are in negotiations and each of those countries has its own alliances with each other. It is different from real estate in that time never stands still, that dynamism and change is the constant, and that a single bottom line is a fiction. You could win once in a tweet-advanced swaggering showdown, but you are setting yourself and ourselves up for bigger losses. Most important, it is different from real estate because some countries are founded upon principles of self-determination and protection of human rights while others relentlessly seek to stamp out these principles. In fact, their leaders wouldn't mind stamping us out, even after Donald Trump shakes their hand and pronounces them trustworthy.

Trump rejects out of hand the concept of partnership, even though that is where our genuine self-interest is advanced. Now and again, a pundit will suggest that Trump’s bluster could advantage us, as in “Maybe that other country will think he is just crazy enough to start a trade war and will make concessions.” But we are dealing with other governments, not someone who owns a parcel in Manhattan. This is not just about dairy supports or the price of imported steel. Canada, Germany, Britain and France are not going to forget the flurry of insults, nor should they. Now, Un-believably, and without a trace of irony, Trump has made Kim Jong Un a “lover of his people” while Justin Trudeau is “weak.” Don’t let this become America’s voice.

Democrats, well aware that freer trade has had its economic winners and losers, are going to be happy to watch Senators Bob Corker, Ben Sasse and others battle Trump apologists on the Senate floor over trade. The issue is whether to rein in Trump’s bogus use of national security as grounds for slapping tariffs on products from Canada and other allies. Among the ironies, the Koch brothers are on Corker’s side.

We need to stand for globalism, an indispensable part of the way forward not just on climate change but on most everything that the planet and its people need. We need to remind ourselves again that in fighting poverty and disease, the world has accomplished something together. Nicholas Kristoff says the world has achieved important progress but faces mortal threats. Let’s do three things to diminish the threats.

1) Bolster the Backbone of Those Challenging Trump


There is always the possibility that the sizable number of Senate Republicans who are challenging Trump on his trade approach will fold in the usual ways when the usual “let’s stay together” pushback is mounted by Trump-battered Republican leaders. But there is a better chance that this battle is an ongoing one, since the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and other Republican business interests are aligned with the Corker-led apostates. Donald Trump had promised wary Republicans that the battles waged at the G-7 in Quebec would be “a movie that ends quickly”. But he couldn’t bear to have Justin Trudeau write his own narrative, so the movie didn’t end. Even if it had, with Trump there will always be the sequel.

So, it is time to call and write to a couple of Republican Senators who are inclined to give Bob Corker some cover, and who could help over time to make this battle be about the need for global partnerships. Please call and/or write:

Senator Lamar Alexander
455 Dirksen Senate Office Building
Washington DC 20510
(202) 224-4944

Senator Ben Sasse
136 Russell Senate Office Building
Washington DC 20510
(202) 224-4224

2) 
Represent Yourself as a Part of the Community of Nations
True as it is that the United Nations is seriously flawed, it is the one place where countries buy in to the idea that we are a community of nations and that we have collective interests that must be pursued. At minimum, we must have a forum where mutual goals are established in fighting global poverty, addressing climate change, and responding to the global refugee crisis. So of all times in our lives it has become necessary to either join the United Nations Association of the USA or at least understand what it is trying to accomplish, now is the most important time of all.

3) 
Be Guided by Your Fellow Blog Readers
We have received many thoughtful responses to the 41 missives we have sent since the electoral tragedy of November of 2016, and gratifying encouragement to keep on going. A number of working groups and resistance efforts around the country follow up immediately on the three recommended steps for action that are always included.

And we get letters ---

Says one - “Perhaps a topic for the next missive is the Sessions’ approach to border-crossing families of taking children away from parents and putting them into holding pens and foster care while detaining, deporting or prosecuting their parents… surely there must be a more humane way…" Stayed tuned for missive #43 for updates and action steps on asylum-seekers and on DACA.

Says another - "I would ask you to consider advising your readers to read a very important book I just finished. It’s called How Democracies Die by Levitsky and Ziblatt. It is a scholarly analysis of the signature circumstances that characteristically lead to a democracy turning into an authoritarian dictatorship. It does an in-depth analysis of numerous historic examples with frightening comparisons to America today. I personally believe that every thoughtful person should read to open their eyes concerning what’s going on this country." No dying democracies on our watch. We will read it!

From California - "Every Wednesday a bunch of women in our town, whose kids are grown and flown, meet for two hours to write postcards to registered voters. We spruce up our plain postcards in all manner of creative ways and write… to encourage people to get out and be part of the blue wave. As you say each time, we must participate if we are to be governed in a way that is just and fair.” Let’s do that, too.

Since Donald Trump believes he can take the measure of a person in thirty seconds, let’s understand what we would want him to know about us in thirty seconds. We would want him to know--- No, we won’t let this stand. We believe that our democracy is imperiled, and we are fully confident that we can do something about that, and that is what we are doing at this very moment, and that is what we will continue to do until this danger to democracy is lifted.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Tuesday, May 29, 2018

#41: Don't Let Them Hide the Statue's Torch

Thank you for continuing to share these messages with your friends, if you are not already on our mailing list, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, A Path Forward to November 3, 2020, every two weeks, which means there will be a total of 100 missives before the Presidential election of 2020, in which our country will select a whole new course.

For all the talk about Trump’s approval ratings, the Mueller investigation, Stormy Daniels, and North Korea, the outcome of the off year elections in November is up to us. 

Between now and November, we know that Robert Mueller will announce findings and further charges. We will be unsurprised when Mueller contends that Roger Stone and others used Wikileaks and other conduits to coordinate Russian efforts with those of the campaign. That’s collusion, and the only remaining issue will be whether Mueller can prove that Trump was a party to it all. All that might happen or might not happen is explained nicely in this “interactive” presentation by the New York Times.

Because they fear things that could happen, Trump and Giuliani are pushing back every day against Rod Rosenstein and Mueller. That’s why they have enlisted an entire television network at their service. That’s why we were treated to the Trumped up “Spygate” allegation. The good news is that after the Congressional bi-partisan “Gang of Eight” heard their Trump-mandated classified briefing about an FBI informant within the Trump campaign, they had nothing to say. The tacit agreement among the Gang of Eight is that Schumer and Pelosi will not dwell on this bizarre incident while Ryan and McConnell would not hint at support of Trump’s allegations. 

There continues to be a cohort of Senate Republicans who are bent upon defending the rule of law. They are protecting Mueller and Rosenstein. To their discredit, they are not countering Trump’s daily preemptive assaults on the FBI. It is the shame of America that we have arrived at this place, where a president has free rein to eviscerate people at will. In past decades, leaders of this party have advanced civil rights, championed environmental initiatives, and promoted democracy. Who would have thought that the Republicans would leave that all behind in favor of becoming the party relentlessly attacking the Federal Bureau of Investigation?

We already know what to do about it--- win in November. Before then we need to attend to pending matters outlined below, having to do with how a caring and just society protects children. On the political front, between now and November, the gigantic issue is whether we will choose to do at a huge scale what we already know how to do. 

First, we know how to identify and battle voter suppression and increase participation. We know how to find voters to register, taking advantage of digital systems. As outlined in missive #39:

There are any number of online efforts to significantly increase voter registration, but none any more aggressive and expansive and relentless than Rock the Vote, which has helped to register millions of people. If you could magically get them into the heads of thousands of people, especially people who are new to the voting process that would be excellent. And collectively you can. Rock the Vote has any number of tools, including state by state analysis of what one needs to do to register and vote, a guide to overcome barriers that vote suppressing states have erected, and a link to the online registration sites of 38 states.

Second, we understand and take advantage of the fact that we are part of the biggest political movement since the 1960’s. As outlined in missive #35:

There were two ways that this movement was uncommon, both lessons for us now. First the peace movement reached way beyond the rolls of people who would have been expected to participate in it. Like the Women’s Marches of January 2017 and 2018 and the organization of Indivisible and other resistance cells. It activated into its ranks millions of people who had thought themselves to be non-political. In some cases, it caused people to change a political persuasion that had long been adhered to in their family. New questions were being asked around the kitchen table, and all of a sudden Ozzie and Harriet’s kids were in the streets. You knew you were not in ordinary times.

Third, we have embraced that this work must entangle us with specific campaigns. As underscored in missive #23:

Campaigns are won or lost from their inception, not on the day the results are posted… There will be 60 or so competitive Congressional races so you are going to find one nearby, even if you have to consider a neighboring state. Use the excellent online resources which are available to you to help sort things out. These include Indivisible and Swing Left, either of which can help you sort out targeted races… After you pick the race, go see the candidate or one of her or his aides if they are within traveling distance. If you don’t live in their district, join an Indivisible cell or other organizing group that will “adopt” the candidate. If such a group doesn’t already exist, you can organize it yourself.

So, there is no alternative but to get it and get it done, no? And while we are attending to these longer term matters with the near obsession that befits the times, let’s remember that there are children who need our help this week in America. In the earlier days, Donald Trump made it a point to indicate his regard for Dreamers, 800,000 young Americans brought here during their childhood by their parents. It was fashionable for him and others to say that Barack Obama’s Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) overstepped presidential powers, but that Congress should figure out a way to protect these young people.

Ever since, Trump’s approach (guided by the inexhaustibly malevolent aide Stephen Miller) has been to do everything he can do to keep Dreamer protection from happening. He has loaded his proposals with cuts to immigration and with advocacy for the wall, motivated by the gladness it brings to the closed heart of nativist Americans, all forgetting that their parents or grandparents came here from somewhere else. They are covering the Statue of Liberty, trying to hide the torch. No more “huddled masses yearning to breathe free”, for them. There are three things we can do.

1) Spur the Discharge Petition in the House


The federal courts have ordered the Trump administration to continue to enforce DACA, but this is only a temporary defense. This week will provide the best opportunity to get DACA moving again. Moderate Republicans need two more signers from their own party on their “discharge position” to force a vote on the House floor, plus a little more negotiation with wall-opposing Texas Democrats. Whether or not the discharge position itself is successful, it could spur the long awaited House debate. Here’s John Kasich’s argument for the petition.

Pick at least three Republicans from the Congressional delegation of your state and/or neighboring state. Start with those have seemed most moderate in the past. Call them and insist on bi-partisan consideration of ways to protect Dreamers in the House this week or next. Look up their direct number or call the Capitol switchboard at 202-224-3121 and ask them to transfer you.

2) 
Get the Senate Moving Again
The Senate fell apart in its previous floor debates on Dreamers and on broader immigration issues. They can’t be let off the hook. Some Senators are looking at Trump’s recent revocation of Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for various protected populations as a new way to start discussions.

At minimum, they realize that they are going to take up the plight of the Dreamers ultimately, and would like to demonstrate that they are indeed Senators. 
Let’s try to connect with a Senator who has indicated his impatience with a lack of action, but is not a boat-rocker, Republican James Lankford of Oklahoma. Call James Lankford’s DC office and say that you are one of countless Americans who are depending upon him for a fresh voice and new action. Thank him for his conscientiousness on this issue and say you are hoping for more. His number is 202-224-5744. His new legislative director is Sarah Seitz. Even though Senate emails have been problematic, you can take a run at connecting with her at Sarah_Seitz@lankford.senate.gov.

3) 
Bolster the Advocacy of Dreamers and Other Young Immigrants
There are numerous ways we can lend our support to Dreamers. The best first step of all is to add ourselves to the 400,000 people who are part of United We Dream, which is youth led. With our help, they are not going to let these hopes be dashed.

For all of us, this is another day at the “office”. Collectively, we aim to correct a calamitous turn in American political life. We want desperately for that correction to emerge, beginning this fall. However, we understand that what we want is not the issue, it is what we choose to do between now and November.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Wednesday, May 16, 2018

#40: How Will You be a Part of the Blue Wave?

Thank you for continuing to share these messages with your friends, if you are not already on our mailing list, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, A Path Forward to November 3, 2020, every two weeks, which means there will be a total of 100 missives before the Presidential election of 2020, in which our country will select a whole new course.

It is a little mind numbing, no? How do you separate the claims and the counterclaims? How do you distinguish between the disappointing Trump actions and the hugely damaging? When can you let yourself be heartened by something positive that might happen in the Congress, and when must despair wash over you before you can even try to conquer it?

These times take some sorting. Remember that this President is intentionally unmoored, not just as a part of his being but as a political tactic. That is going to unsettle a citizen’s equilibrium on a regular basis. Remember also that some advocates gain your attention by telling you the worst-case scenario. Just because the most right-wing member of the House of Representatives calls for this or that governmental action does not mean it is going to materialize tomorrow. The legislative process is meant to generate heat as well as light. And it is certainly doing that.

So, if the news bite is something outrageous like “Representative Mark Meadows, leader of the House Freedom Caucus, proposed today that Americans be jailed if they don’t pay daily homage to Donald Trump”, don’t start packing a duffel. There are still checks and balances. Our system is bending right now, but it doesn’t mean it will break.

We need to pay careful attention to which members of Congress are making public statements, and when those statements are consequential. Sometimes legislative leaders selected by their caucuses will signal their specific intentions or even their willingness to compromise on an issue. Statements by leaders of the House of Representatives Paul Ryan or Kevin McCarthy (Republicans) and Nancy Pelosi or Steny Hoyer (Democrats) carry much more weight than pronouncements from individual members. The same is true in the Senate with Mitch McConnell and John Cornyn (Republicans) and Charles Schumer and Dick Durbin (Democrats). 

Watch also for representations made by the chairs of major committees, or the “ranking” member from the Democratic minority. Take note of the higher level of cooperation between Richard Burr and Mark Warner (the Republican chair and the ranking Democrat of the Senate Intelligence Committee). When one of the two says something about the Russia investigation, they will stay connected with the other, even in the face of political differences. Note the lack of such cooperation in the House between Intelligence Committee Republican Devin Nunes and Democratic ranking minority member Adam Schiff, and don’t expect that their statements reach across the aisle. Because of his committee powers and because his pronouncements are less frequent, when Senate Judiciary Committee Chair Charles Grassley says that Donald Trump should not fire Robert Mueller, it counts more than ten other Senators saying the same thing.

We can also learn to recognize when elected officials overuse the microphone. For instance, the ever-vocal Ted Cruz does not have a following in the Senate Republican caucus. His pronouncements on what others should do are not influential. Tom Cotton’s following is small. In the House, public statements from Republican moderates like Charlie Dent are intended to rally the fifty or so colleagues that he needs in order to be treated with more care by Speaker Paul Ryan, but the moderates have rarely gotten traction they have sought. Things are different in the Senate. Because Mitch McConnell holds only a two-vote majority, any public statement by a Republican Senator who might desert him on a key vote means a great deal. That’s why there are always reporters looking for comments from Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins, Bob Corker, Lindsay Graham, Jeff Flake, John McCain, and even Rand Paul. They have not been as spirited as we would have liked, but we still have what’s left of the Affordable Care Act because of Republican Senators.

Donald Trump was not the first president to make Americans miserable. The now nearly sainted John Adams wanted to put dissidents in jail for sedition. Until later in life, he and Jefferson hated each other. Landowners were terrified of Andrew Jackson. James Buchanan turned the threat of a Civil War into a certainty. Woodrow Wilson was a racist. George W. Bush let Dick Cheney make up a war.

In the face of the pain this man has wrought, collect rare moments of grace. Former presidents and their spouses sitting with Melania Trump at Barbara Bush’s funeral was meant to communicate that we still stand for something together, at least for now.

This misery will be tolerable only if we can make it pass. Our momentum is growing for the fall elections. We will vigorously contest the Senate and will win back the House. And that will provide considerable relief from the worst Trumpian havoc that would otherwise be visited upon the people. 

The Michael Cohen/Rudy Giuliani adventures will continue to bring rewards, and Robert Mueller ever so patiently does the work that he was called upon to do. Tough times require some people to step forward when they didn’t initially intend to do so. Thank you for that, Rod Rosenstein, and Senators Jerry Moran and Charles Grassley. And yes, we do get guilty pleasure from the work of Michael Avenatti.

There is even a tiny bit of movement in Congress on important issues even as most of the time is spent on political positioning. We can and should do these three things to support work in progress.

1) Convince Republicans to Dare to Help the Dreamers


The discharge petition is a rarely used process in the House of Representatives that forces consideration of a bill on the House floor. Republican moderates hope to use this process to require Paul Ryan and the House to move forward on four separate legislative approaches on immigration regarding Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA). Trump is still blocked by the courts from throwing the Dreamers out, but Congress must act on the longer-term solution. Paul Ryan is afraid that a floor debate on a bi-partisan compromise would put Trump in a position where he would veto the bill because it doesn’t wall us off from Mexico.

With Democrats expected to join moderate Republicans, advocates are only seven signatures away. The closer they get, the more leverage moderate Republicans will muster to force a vote. Check this list and see who has signed thus far. Pick a Republican from your state or from a nearby state, call their office and ask them to join this effort. Or pick from these seven Republican members, who signed a letter to the Speaker last December telling him they wanted action on DACA! Remember, even if they don’t end up taking this step, it is worth it to let them know you are out there.
  • Chris Smith of New Jersey: 202-225-3765
  • Scott Taylor of Virginia: 202-225-4215
  • Dan Newhouse of Washington: 202-225-5816
  • Mimi Walters of California: 202-225-5611
  • Mike Simpson of Idaho: 202-225-5513
  • Brian Fitzpatrick of Pennsylvania: 202-225-4276
  • Ryan Costello of Pennsylvania: 202-225-4315
2) Give Long Overdue Criminal Justice Reform a Boost
Criminal justice reform has been a project of Jared Kushner, whose father was incarcerated in years past. Progress has been slow, even though there were broad bi-partisan agreements on sentencing reform and on prisoner education near the end of the Obama presidency.

There is still some bi-partisan interest in getting something done this year. The House is prepared to move along a tiny bill on inmate education, eschewing the more impactful but more contentious sentencing reform. The Senate wants to take up both issues. This placces Judiciary Committee chair Charles Grassley in conflict with the House sentencing reform obstructionist Jeff Sessions.

Write a quick note to Grassley and Democratic assistant minority leader Dick Durbin to thank them for doing the right thing.
  • Chuck Grassley 202-224-3744
    135 Hart Senate Office Building
  • Washington, DC 20510

  • Dick Durbin 202-224-2152
  • 711 Hart Senate Building
  • Washington, D.C. 20510
Sign up to get action alerts on this and other efforts from the Leadership Council on Civil and Human Rights, started over fifty years ago by Dr. Martin Luther King.

3) 
The Elephants Need You to Remember Their Plight
The narrative was that Ivanka Trump had talked to her father, and that we were going to fully shut down the ivory trade and elephant trophy hunting. It turns out that there is still hemming and hawing, and talk about case by case evaluation.    

And, of course, there has been even more absurd talk that we need to allow permits to kill elephants in order to raise funds to keep people from killing elephants.

There are members of Congress who are staying with this issue, and even exploring how Facebook has created a path for people selling illegally secured animal parts. Please call Senator Chris Coons of Delaware to thank him and to ask him to be an ongoing leader in elephant protection. 
  • Chris Coons 202-224-5042
This is how it will be going for a while--- a few meaningful legislative actions here and there, followed by a huge showdown on the budget in late summer, as Trump threatens to close down the government if we refuse to build him a wall. It will all lead up to a colossal referendum on the Trump presidency in the November 6 off year elections. What are you doing right now to be a part of the blue wave?

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington