Wednesday, January 24, 2024

Letter from David Harrison

Dear friends,

Certainly, I would never be the one to tell you to ignore the soul-deadening mean-spirited truth-avoiding statements of the Republican ex-president. You are bound to notice and cringe that he is out there bouncing from court to podium, worshipping at the church of himself and posing a threat to our country.

However, it would be good to underscore that this is the 2018 and 2020 and 2022 failed Republican playbook. Nikki Haley’s New Hampshire supporters were heavily populated with Republican and Independent voters who cannot abide her opponent at all, not loyalists who will close ranks. This turning away is an increasing phenomenon, not a decreasing one, and it is evident across the country.

As we all jump in, the story of 2024 will be a pronounced version of recent Republican political adventures. Their candidate’s special sauce is pleasing his core while scaring and offending and angering and repelling the voters in the middle. And the bonus is that their likely candidate is a get out the vote machine for Democratic voters. We can have those voters, so we will take them, and with them the House as well as the Presidency.

For the voters in the middle, the upcoming appellate ruling matters, there is no such thing as complete presidential immunity. So does the sight of Mark Meadows and others testifying under oath this spring that Trump knew he had lost while he was feloniously deploying fake electors. 

Independent voters were reached in the 2022 election cycle by Joe Biden’s emphasis on Trump’s threats to democracy. Those charges continue to resonate. Trump’s bizarre love for autocrats and antipathy toward Zelenskyy and Ukraine will continue to steer voters to us.

Voters aren’t forgetting the Dobbs decision. It looks like constitutional protections will be on the ballot in several swing states. If every single state, the assault on the right to choose gives us a significant electoral boost.

What to add to these present conditions? Principally, we must add our relentlessness. If you are watching and not acting, watch AND act. If you are looking for something to do at this very moment to reveal your 2024 self, get involved in voter registration, or sign up for postcard writing. If you need a new organization, help the extraordinary Mi Familia Vota register Latino voters in the swing state of North Carolina. Or, do some postcard writing for the powerful team of Swing Left and Vote Forward.

Please look for my missive on ten 2024 election strategies on coming up on February 15.

Best to you all,

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Monday, January 8, 2024

#43: The Way the Court Will Boost Jack Smith's Trial

This is the next of our series of missives on our unfinished work to restore the promise of our country and its government. Each will focus on a single element of the many opportunities and challenges that lie ahead. Each will provide three steps we can all take to build upon our huge victories winning back the House in 2018 and the Presidency in 2020. 

If you are not already receiving these messages by email, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook where you can read and share these messages. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, Our Unfinished Work, every three to four weeks.

It’s a solid bet that Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh is extremely annoyed. Trump lawyer Alina Habba just chronicled how hard the Trump White House worked to get him confirmed, saying she expects Kavanagh will “step up” in the Supreme Court’s decision-making over whether Trump’s insurrectionist behavior could keep him off ballots.

Kavanaugh has voted with the conservatives in the great majority of the cases before the Court. However, he showed some independence. In the spring of 2023, he joined John Roberts and the liberals in protecting the key remaining section of the Voting Rights Act, thus forcing several Southern states to abandon racially discriminatory redistricting maps. 

In February, the Supreme Court will review the 5-4 decision by the Colorado Supreme Court to deny Trump a place on that state’s presidential ballot. The Colorado Court’s finding is that Trump’s role in the January 6, 2021 insurrection disqualifies him for the Presidency under an 1868 amendment to the Constitution.

In 2022, a New Mexico judge removed County Commissioner Cuoy Griffin from office for assaulting the Capitol on January 6. Could Trump face the same fate? Whether or not Brett Kavanaugh despises Trump or has a secret shrine to him in his closet, the answer will be no. This will be even more painful because Trump has warned the Court and nation that there will be “big trouble” if the Court rules against him. By all rights, this alone should disqualify him.

The insurrection of the Civil War involved putting a million Confederate soldiers into battle. The Supreme Court will find a problem in the Colorado case with a lack of definition of insurrection, a temporary shortage in Trump convictions, a lack of an established statutory process to consider the issue, and perhaps with an uncertain definition about whom is an “officer” of the United States under Section 3 of the 14th amendment. They will let the awful man stay on the ballot, perhaps even by more than the typical 6-3 or 5-4 vote.

Roberts and Kavanagh and the liberals will craft a way to say something more, underscoring the felony charges before Trump. Besides, as court watchers know, there is a lot more to come:
  • E. Jean Carroll’s defamation case is still out there. Trump has already been found to have defamed Carroll over her charges of rape. What will be before the Court is an appellate finding that Trump did not claim on a timely basis that he had immunity from this civil charge. Once the matter is completed and Trump held liable, the Supreme Court will refuse to hear his appeal.
  • By June, the Supreme Court will hear the appeal of three January 6 rioters who were convicted of “obstructing an official proceeding”. A federal district court judge dismissed charges, ruling that the law prohibiting such actions requires the obstruction of a document, record or other object, The appellate court reversed that decision in a 2-1 vote, leaving the case ripe for the Supreme Court to choose the narrower interpretation. If that’s what they do, it will eliminate one of special counsel Jack Smith’s four charges against Trump. This is relatively inconsequential, except for the tiresome Trumpian untruths and misrepresentations that would immediately follow. Three hundred of the one thousand rioters faced this as at least one of their charges.
  • There are two separate cases in which Capitol police have sued Trump for civil damages related to the injuries suffered during the January 6 insurrection. These cases and Jack Smith’s felony charges reach Trump’s ultimate defense, that he has total civil and criminal immunity for any actions taken during his presidency. The big win before the Supreme Court will be when they find that no such total immunity exists, nor has the court ever implied that it does. Instead, the courts will determine that a President is criminally and civilly liable for actions taken outside of his official duties.
  • Jack Smith is counting on this in the most important case of all, now before US District Court Judge Tanya Chutkan in DC in which Trump is charged with plotting to overturn the election. Smith’s actions are shrewd. The reason he wants the ruling on immunity before the trial is that it helps him organize his prosecution. It establishes that a few important former Trump staff members, including Mark Meadows, will testify that they knew, and he knew that he was acting outside of the Presidency.
As this missive is being distributed, a three-judge panel in DC will be hearing Jack Smith’s expedited appeal on presidential immunity. Donald Trump plans to attend. It’s possible the three-judge panel will immediately reject the spurious claim and remand the case back to the federal district court which had sought to begin the long-awaited Trump trial on March 6. It is not out of the question that the Supreme Court will refuse to hear any subsequent appeal on the immunity claim.

What a time it is, no? Why not do some things on our own, rather than just watching the news.

1) Celebrate Ron DeSantis’ Demise
Perhaps at one point Ron DeSantis met with a campaign aide who counseled him: “Ron, I want you to spend your entire campaign imagining you have a sour lemon in your mouth. Be extremely angry at everyone, even your mom. And if you need to summarize, just say, ‘Florida is the place that woke goes to die.’ That will supercharge the electorate!”

Accordingly, the DeSantis campaign is nearly over. In the meantime, as conservative as Nikki Haley is, it would be nice to have a Republican candidate who wants Zelenskyy and Ukraine to live and thrive. We will find out how viable she is in New Hampshire on January 23. In the meantime in “honor” of DeSantis, let’s get back to guaranteeing that Florida is a swing state again. The right to choose may well be on the ballot in November. Help make that so by supporting Floridians Protecting Freedom

2) 
Do This to Help Ukraine
The leading Republican supporter of Ukraine in the House is Michael McCaul of Texas, chair of the House Foreign Affairs Committee. It is a good thing that he cannot abide walking away from further aid to Zelenskyy. Call his office at 202-225-2401 and tell him now is the time to step forward to make certain his caucus does the right thing.

3) 
Shore Up State Election Laws
It’s time to circle around to our state legislators to make certain they are doing due diligence in strengthening election processes. The best guide there is on what legislators should be doing right now on such issues as election certification and dispute resolution is How States Can Prevent Election Subversion in 2024 and Beyond. Get it from the Brennan Center and contact your own legislator.

There would not be a way to overstate the danger to our nation of the swirling, Trump-generated anti-Democratic forces. These are formidable foes, but this is a battle that we will win.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Monday, December 4, 2023

#42: Bolster These Six Strengths All the Way to November

This is the next of our series of missives on our unfinished work to restore the promise of our country and its government. Each will focus on a single element of the many opportunities and challenges that lie ahead. Each will provide three steps we can all take to build upon our huge victories winning back the House in 2018 and the Presidency in 2020. 

If you are not already receiving these messages by email, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook where you can read and share these messages. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, Our Unfinished Work, every three to four weeks.

Don’t discount the danger that Joe Biden will soon have the wrong thing in common with Ruth Bader Ginsburg. In 2013, after Barack Obama told her that Democrats were likely to lose the Senate in 2014, thus inhibiting his opportunity to name her successor, Ginsburg made the choice to stay on the Court.

Ginsburg was 80 then and had beaten cancer, but like Biden today, she felt fine. Being a Justice of the Supreme Court was her life, and there was much work to be done. Moreover, she felt good about Hilary Clinton winning the presidency in 2016.

Ginsburg died at 86, four months before the end of Donald Trump’s term in 2020, thus making possible the overturning of Roe v. Wade. It wasn’t her intention to put her nation at risk. How it turned out was heartbreaking for her and for us.

At 81, Joe Biden loves the work and feels good about his chances for re-election. He aims to serve at 86. At this point, he is putting our country at great risk. The big danger is not that he will be elected in the face of his diminishing capacity. The two far greater perils are 1) that he will lose because the American voter has already made a different calculation than he has about the implications of his age, or 2) He will suffer a medical incident between his nomination and the election, thus creating near certainty that the Republican candidate will win.

There is still a chance that Joe Biden will decide not to run, but his recent rejection of David Axelrod’s voiced concerns is troubling. Independents and even some Democrats are casting their eye on the very conservative Nikki Haley, aware that she has read the Constitution and does not seem to have a Trumpian vitriol addiction. This is because when you fear for your country, you can start thinking about the least bad alternative, in case Democrats band behind Biden until November 2024 and it doesn’t work out so well.

None of this has anything to do with Biden’s performance up until now, as some “progressives” seem to have misunderstood. Blaming Joe Biden for not having a bigger package of incentives to reduce carbon than the huge package he got enacted is bizarre. Are we going to go back to Ralph Nader’s assertion to younger voters that there was “no difference” between Al Gore and George W. Bush? How did that turn out?

Instead, this is all about Joe Biden’s future potential. The Democratic Party leadership needs to huddle with each other and with Joe Biden and start active consideration of Gretchen Whitmer and others. In the meantime, we can revel in the six strengths we have heading into 2024.
  1. Choice - The Dobbs decision which overturned the right to choose has richly rewarded Democratic candidates ever since the Supreme Court ruled in June of 2022. It must seem like a decade for Republicans rather than just 18 months. Among other things, it cost Virginia Republican Governor Glen Youngkin a Republican majority in both his House and Senate. Democrats gleefully project initiatives putting choice on the ballot in 2024 in the swing states of Arizona, Florida, Nevada, and Colorado.
  2. Demographics - Depending on the candidates, there is no guarantee that the Democrats’ 70%-30% margins among Latino voters will materialize at that level in the fall of 2024. However, the percentage will still be favorable and the non-white population of nearly all the swing states is growing at a faster rate than the overall population.
  3. The House of non-Representatives - It has arrived at the point where the impasse among House Republicans is so intractable that political damage for Republicans is inevitable, especially in swing states. It takes a lot to disabuse the American voter of their idea that both parties are equally to blame for Congressional dysfunction. In response, Republicans are pioneering new ways to obstruct legislation, and there isn’t anything Speaker Mike Thompson can do about it. 
  4. The Economy - There is a popular and peculiar notion among commentators that Democrats aren’t getting and won’t get any boost from recent inflation reduction, market upswings, lower gas prices and 14 million jobs. “No boost” is an overstatement. Every piece of good news about the economy helps Democrats, just not nearly as much as they wish it would.
  5. Trump - Obviously, it is a great danger to have him around, but Trump boosts Democratic chances with independent voters everywhere he goes. There should be a Democratic PAC that pays to send him to swing states. He isn’t staying put on the old list of wrongs, grudges, and recriminations. He finds new people to insult every day, including Iowa evangelical leaders. There’s a shibboleth that putting Trump on trial only reinforces his support, but that is among the minority of voters that are his base. As the trials reveal a new litany of misdeeds, independent voters will walk away, as they have in every election since 2016. Even the Koch empire knows this, as they demonstrated in their support of Nikki Haley.
  6. Ukraine - Surprisingly, a lot of Republican leaders share Trump’s desire for a bromance with Vladimir Putin. No accounting for taste. As we get into the election year, Zelenskyy will soldier forward, Biden and McConnell will get him and the Ukrainians the necessary support, and the Republicans will continue to find themselves in another minority position.
Building on these strengths, let’s do these three things now:

1) Take Advantage of the House Republicans Fighting Each Other
The battles between House conservatives and House ultra conservatives have created a caucus that cannot function, whatever the efforts of new speaker Mike Johnson. Ever since Democrats helped them pass a continuing resolution to fund the government until January, the Republican majority has been unable to even pass a procedural rule covering floor debate on two appropriations bills. There is no way forward. Republicans won’t kick Johnson out as speaker because they have nowhere to go. Instead, they will keep on warring until the next election. These persistent battles put the Republicans in swing districts at enormous risk, including several who were elected in districts that Joe Biden won in 2020. Swing Left has served up a first list of targeted districts in which to invest, including explanations of why they selected them. 

2) 
Consider Dean Phillips
For some who think that it is time for Joe Biden to step aside, supporting another Democratic candidate would be a difficult or even painful thing to do. The other point of view is that either way Minnesota Congressman Dean Phillips is not going to end up as President. Supporting him in New Hampshire might be a good way to send a signal to the Democratic Party, which seems frozen behind Joe Biden’s unwise candidacy.

3) 
Alarm Yourself About Trump and the Insurrection Act
One more good reason to fight Donald Trump is that he has already discussed using the centuries old Insurrection Act to involve the American military in domestic situations. As the Brennan Center for Justice has pointed out, none of the protections that would keep a President from misusing the act are present in the law as written and interpreted by the courts. The effort to amend the law is still in the early stages. It isn’t too early to use the Brennan Center as your source to keep track of all such matters. You can subscribe to their outstanding newsletter

As this missive reports, we have a lot of electoral strengths as we head into 2024. Will we all jump in so late that we fail to take full advantage of those strengths? That would be a pity, no?

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Sunday, October 22, 2023

#41: Thank Joe Biden, and Select Your New Presidential Candidate

This is the next of our series of missives on our unfinished work to restore the promise of our country and its government. Each will focus on a single element of the many opportunities and challenges that lie ahead. Each will provide three steps we can all take to build upon our huge victories winning back the House in 2018 and the Presidency in 2020. 

If you are not already receiving these messages by email, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook where you can read and share these messages. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, Our Unfinished Work, every three to four weeks.

Here are ten important ways in which Republicans have already disadvantaged themselves as they head toward the November 2024 elections, making our victory more likely:
  • They are resolute in their opposition to a woman’s right to control her own body.
  • They protect AK-47s and AR-15s religiously in the face of massacres across America.
  • Choosing Putin, they are increasingly against military aid to Volodymyr Zelensky and freedom seeking Ukrainians.
  • Unable to elect a Speaker of the House, they have sapped the institutional strength of the Congress at a critical time. Every day of the week, they demonstrate a lack of leadership. 
  • Several of their leaders are dedicated to shutting down the United States government a month from now.
  • Many of them are unwilling to recognize that they lost the 2020 Presidential election, even though their conspiracy claims have tattered the flag.
  • They refuse to acknowledge that there have been 14 million new jobs created since Joe Biden took office.
  • Their leading candidate to date has been charged with felonies in four separate cases and will be a convicted felon by the time the election is held.
  • Many countenanced an insurrection against the United States government on January 6, 2021.
  • They continue to support tax policies that comfort the comfortable, increasing the wealth gap in America.
Painfully, here is the most important way in which Democrats are already disadvantaging themselves as they head toward the November 2024 elections.
  • Resolving to select the current successful president Joe Biden as their presidential candidate.
There is no question that Joe Biden deserves our everlasting gratitude for defeating Donald Trump by seven million votes in 2020. He has served ably. Working with narrow majorities in both the House and Senate, he enacted into law major changes in how this country fights the enormous threat of climate change and reverses the deterioration of its infrastructure.

Joe Biden has performed well on the international stage. More than any other person, he is responsible for the expansion and strengthening of the NATO alliance and the development of the coalition of nations supporting Ukraine, which otherwise would have been conquered by Russia.

Nonetheless, it is time for Joe Biden to complete his more than four decades of service. This is not even an issue of his electability. Despite his low voter approval at this point, he could win the presidency, especially matched against Donald Trump, whom independent voters have deserted.
The issue is Joe Biden’s health and age. Were he elected, he would be sworn in at 82 and be serving at 86, the oldest President in U.S. history. Performing the incredibly rigorous demands of the presidency would be impossible, not only for Joe Biden, but for anyone of this age. Even more concerning is the distinct possibility that he would become incapacitated or even die during the four years of his second term, or even during the campaign.

President Biden having a heart attack or stroke during the 2024 campaign season would deliver the election to the Republican candidate.

Mortality data backs up this concern. More than 30% of 80-year-old males in America will pass away prior to their 86th birthday, and others will suffer a considerable loss of function. The ravages of aging are inexorable. These are the unavoidable facts of life. This is too big a job and too important a campaign year for Joe Biden’s party to bet on his future health. 

Even if millions of Joe Biden’s most grateful supporters wished to accept these dangers, the American voter will not. Three quarters of American voters think he is too old to run, including nearly 70% of Democrats. 

It is time for a generational change. It’s happened before. John F. Kennedy, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were all the youngest major candidates in their presidential primaries. Strong younger candidates abound. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer is 52, and New Jersey Senator Cory Booker is 54. California Governor Gavin Newsom just turned 56 and Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar is 63. Sure, none is as well-known as Joe Biden, but all are a generation younger, fresh, able, and experienced. Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro is 50 and Illinois Governor J. B. Pritzker is 58. Maryland Governor Wes Moore is a huge emerging talent and he’s 45!

There are political analysts who believe that Joe Biden intends to withdraw from this race, that he is waiting until near the end of the year after Congress goes home to shorten the period that he will be a lame duck. Others believe that even as we speak, internal discussions are taking place as to how to convince Joe Biden to step aside if he will not do so on his own. Perhaps they are right. Even those of us who deeply admire Joe Biden must help to make it so. Let’s do these three things to increase our chances in 2024:

1) Call Congressman Dean Phillips Immediately
Minnesota Congressman Dean Phillips is not going to be the next President of the United States. However, what he will do over the next two weeks is of great consequence. Phillips is the Democratic elected official to date most intent on budging Joe Biden away from running. Phillips has made overtures to New Hampshire Democrats and will need to decide in the next two weeks whether to be a candidate. 

This is exactly what is needed to give more of our leaders the freedom to talk about the dangers of Joe Biden running, and the opportunity to field an alternative. It will draw considerable press attention, make the 2028 Democratic wannabees take notice, and advance their own preparedness in case Biden reconsiders. It is nothing but a good thing.

Dean Phillips is former chair of the gelato company Talenti and is the grandson of advice columnist Abigail Van Buren (sister of Ann Landers). He has stepped down from his House leadership position and is fully focused on this matter. He heads back to Minneapolis frequently. Call his Congressional campaign office at 952-426-1766 and tell his aides you need him to run for President.

2) 
Contact Your State Party Chair
Even if you are in a mainstream Democratic state, this is a situation in which state party leadership matters. State party chairs and representatives to the Democratic National Committee are just as worried as you are that voters are overwhelmingly concerned about Joe Biden’s age. Track down their emails and tell them it is time for them to act on their worries.

3) 
Watch No Labels Carefully
At this point, it is difficult to figure out the organization No Labels. Their announced intent is to get beyond bitter partisanship and elevate bi-partisan solutions, including centrist candidates. It is possible that No Labels could do something that would change the entire makeup of the election, and even spur the value of Democrats having a new presidential candidate. Early results are unpromising. The joint appearance by former Utah Republican Governor Jon Huntsman and West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin left the policy positions of No Labels indistinct, or perhaps nonexistent.

There’s just a little more than a year to go before the next presidential election. There’s plenty of time to get the right candidate if we get going.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Tuesday, September 19, 2023

#40: Republicans: “Mr. Putin, Put Up That Wall!”

Alert: This small missive played a key role in 2022 in supporting key organizing efforts by Mi Familia Vota in Nevada and Arizona, which helped eke out narrow victories. Mi Familia Vota has set its sights on North Carolina, where the Latino population has now exceeded one million. This is a terrific chance to make inroads in a swing state. Our missive has pledged $15,000 to help Mi Familia Vota get going in North Carolina. We have raised $5,000 so far. Please help us reach this goaltoday

This is the next of our series of missives on our unfinished work to restore the promise of our country and its government. Each will focus on a single element of the many opportunities and challenges that lie ahead. Each will provide three steps we can all take to build upon our huge victories winning back the House in 2018 and the Presidency in 2020 and holding onto the Senate in 2022.

If you are not already receiving these messages by email, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook where you can read and share these messages. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, Our Unfinished Work, every three to four weeks.

Even after seven years of MAGA pestilence, you can still get surprised. This is the news. Eighty House Republicans have walked away from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Ukraine. They couch it in “higher American priorities” babble, but it still startles. There is no American interest in protecting a democratic nation from being invaded by a dictator? Marjorie Taylor Greene lies that Joe Biden wants to send our sons and daughters to die in Ukraine. Trump himself says he could end the war in a day, not adding that Zelenskyy would have to cede a third of his nation to Putin for that outcome to be secured. Only the vague knowledge that it is a state would keep Trump from offering Nebraska to Putin, or perhaps Rhode Island.

There is no bigger difference between Ronald Reagan’s Republicanism and the modern-day party, and with it comes a strange new affection for autocracy. This is a party that has identified any number of tyrants to be excused, but Putin? He would subjugate or kill us all if he could, including House Republicans. Don’t they know that?

Democrats are all behind Joe Biden’s engineering of a robust US and international response. Mitch McConnell and many Senate Republicans are there with Biden. So is Kevin McCarthy, to the extent he dares to get away with it with his caucus. Biden has worked hard to get enduring support from other Western democracies. Both major parties in Great Britain unequivocally support Zelenskyy. The reason why Biden is muted in his criticism of House Republicans is he knows it ultimately would be disadvantageous to have Ukraine’s defense be seen as a partisan issue. But one can’t avoid the conclusion that as with Covid, House Republicans are not so good at identifying instruments of death.
Combine that with McCarthy’s serving up an impeachment inquiry regarding Joe Biden and we descend into a world where narrow House margins mean that battles between thirty or forty very right-wing House members dominate the proceedings. Kevin McCarthy didn’t have the floor votes to mandate that inquiry but ordered it up from three committees. Here’s what would make you admire him even less. Kevin McCarthy doesn’t believe a single second that Joe Biden committed an offense, let alone an impeachable one. He is just trying to appease the right flank so they will keep the government open on September 30. If Matt Gaetz told him to do cartwheels through the House chamber, he would do it,

Meanwhile the resolute but weary Biden has decided to own “Bidenomics” after Republicans branded it as a critical sobriquet. Biden is trying to accomplish what happened with “Obamacare” which started out as a derisive term and ended up the opposite. Since Biden has been part of creating 13 million new jobs, he’s understandably looking for some credit. His problem is that he is being blamed for inflation. This blame will recede more slowly than the inflation itself, undoubtedly all the way to November 2024.

We should not forget the monumental legislative achievements of Joe Biden during the first two years of his Presidency. Almost all were dependent on the 36 years he spent in the Senate. However, it cannot be escaped that Biden’s age is a powerful weight upon Democratic 2024 prospects at a time when no votes can be spared. Supporters who say that Biden can avoid the mental and physical ravages of age are wrong. No one can. There is a reason why we have never had an 85-year-old president.

A new Democratic candidate would take advantage of the antipathy of independent voters toward MAGA. Someone like Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer would give us the needed immediate generational shift. She would turbo-charge the right to choose part of our agenda and allow us to recast the Democratic economic agenda away from inflation and toward the blue-collar ties she has successfully advanced in Michigan.

Democrats seem certain that Biden is running. But his campaign has started out slowly. It is possible that he is just holding the spot to be certain not to be lame ducked early. To this point, it is not necessarily a disadvantage to be watching Republicans fighting each other while Donald Trump awaits criminal conviction.

It is time to up our focus by doing these three things.


1) Take Advantage of Changed Demography
To get to 306 electoral votes in 2020, Joe Biden won nearly all the close races in swing states. The notable exceptions were in Florida, which Democrats lost by just over 3% and North Carolina, where Trump squeaked by with a 1% margin. Both will be major targets in 2024, especially because of demographic changes. Half of the population increase in Florida each year is Latino-Americans. North Carolina’s Latino population went from 67,000 in 1990 to 1.1 million in 2020! That is why supporting Mi Familia Vota’s new efforts in North Carolina is so important. Help our missive achieve our $15,000 commitment if you possibly can

2) 
Keep Track of State Courts
The Brennan Center at NYU has been an indispensable organization, especially in providing the resources to the efforts to limit voting in America, which is all the rage among Republican operatives. Now the Brennan Center has an excellent new resource, tracking the numerous positive and negative actions in State Courts, which often carry the day on issues of voter rights. You can sign up today.

3) 
Call Nancy Mace with the Truth
Republican Nancy Mace of South Carolina has called out House Republican leaders more than once for their treatment of members who are vulnerable after having been elected in Congressional districts where Biden beat Trump. She is against an impeachment vote on the floor but has developed convoluted reasoning that McCarthy directing three committees to do an “inquiry” is fine. Call her Capitol Hill office phone at 202-225-3176 and tell the recording that America expects her to stand up to the far right.

Admittedly, it is difficult to spend too much time thinking of these often-foul political things. They can bring you down. On the other hand, applying the energy we have and the beliefs we foster, we can bring them down.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Saturday, July 29, 2023

David Harrison ALERT

This small missive has played an outsized role in boosting Latino voters in the highly contested states of Arizona and Nevada, where our movement gained narrow victories in 2022. Our over $20,000 in support for Mi Familia Vota paid for Spanish language radio ads in Nevada, where Democratic Senator Catherine Cortez Mastro won by fewer than 8,000 votes.

Now we have an exceptional off-year investment we need to make. 

As we await the new Trump indictments, the best news of the day is that Mi Familia Vota is now expanding the states in which they work to North Carolina, where there are over a million Latinos. Because we lost by only 1.34% in 2020, these are electoral votes that we can win by investing in more intensive organizing right now. That’s exactly what Mi Familia Vota will be doing across the state.

Mi Familia Vota can receive 501(c)(3) charitable donations for allowable educational purposes. At this point, instead they most need political donations so they can go to the heart of the matter. Utilizing their flagship #Basta program, they will kick off their new efforts in North Carolina to engage progressive Latino voters with a communication campaign targeting extremist state legislators, especially those who have sponsored anti-immigrant bills. They are emphasizing the Congressional Districts where we have the best chance to pick up a seat. 

There is no better political investment to get ready for 2024 than to boost Mi Familia Vota in North Carolina. We have pledged to immediately raise $15,000 to give Mi Familia Vota a strong and immediate start. Can you help us today?

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Tuesday, July 18, 2023

#39: Ron DeSantis Doesn't Like You At All

This is the next of a new series of missives on our unfinished work to restore the promise of our country and its government. Each will focus on a single element of the many opportunities and challenges that lie ahead. Each will provide three steps we can all take to build upon our huge victories winning back the House in 2018 and the Presidency in 2020. 

Please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook where you can read and share these messages. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, Our Unfinished Work, every three to four weeks.

Ron DeSantis got it partly right. Unfortunately for him and fortunately for us, the part he got wrong means he won’t be nominated.

He correctly said that Donald Trump has permanently estranged himself from countless independent voters (especially suburban women) and that Republicans who want to win should be bent on nominating someone who has upside potential with those voters. Presumably that would be someone who was not an election results-denying, classified document-disclosing, mirror-loving, untruth-telling soon to be- felon. Republicans are spooked by the upcoming charges against Trump to be filed by Jack Smith and Fani Willis. DeSantis’ original claim that he would do better with independents resonated.

It might have continued to resonate if DeSantis hadn’t been so eager to scorn pretty much everyone besides himself. He hasn’t met you, but he is certain he wouldn’t like you if he did. He is the ultimate grievance cultivator. Seemingly, he is proud of tackling little old ladies on the way to get their COVID vaccines. His list of wrongs is huge, and new wrongs are invented and detailed every day. As he campaigns in Iowa, it is clear to him that every one of us is intent on upending every part of the life of the insurance agent in Keokuk or the farmer in Ottumwa. The more the Trump-rejecting suburban independents learn about DeSantis, the less appeal he has.

That’s why there is another “lane” in the Republican primary, and it’s not the one dominated by Chris Christie, belatedly and understandably paying Donald Trump back for past humiliations. It’s the lane of candidates who a) are not estranged from Trump, b) are not election deniers, and b) can project a positive vision of themselves and their country, even at Republican campaign rallies. Dominating this lane are two politicians from the same state, Senator Tim Scott, and former Governor Nikki Haley.
Their relative likability is especially important because all of the Republican candidates are saddled with minority minority positions on choice, assault weapons and international security. Neither Haley nor Scott has traction yet, but it is still early, Meanwhile, two sitting Governors are casting themselves as the “in an emergency, break this glass” candidates. The first, Georgia’s Brian Kemp will be vetoed by Trump for failing to commit election fraud. The second, Virginia’s Glenn Youngkin, is out there seeking to keep his name in play. Don’t let him tell you he is not.

Weirdly, there are Governors waiting in the wings on the Democratic side too. It turns out that being a decent President with an outstanding legislative record does not keep your joints from getting stiff or otherwise exempt you from the inexorable process of aging. More than half of Democrats don’t want Joe Biden to run. This is because the risk is too great that he would suffer a catastrophic event during his campaign or early in his second term, or simply see his energy and/or his cognition deteriorate.

It is still possible that Biden will withdraw. If it happens by fall, it will not have wounded his party appreciably to watch Republican candidates attack each other all summer. Gavin Newsom of California, J.B. Pritzker of Illinois and Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania are all wannabees, and Wes Moore of Maryland is a future shining star. At this point, the party should go back to the Midwest and choose Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer. Whitmer has a proven record of attracting blue collar voters, which will be helpful in many states, including the must-have states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.

Democrats who are hoping that Joe Biden won’t run are reading the existing Biden campaign efforts as evidence that he will run. The truth is, Joe Biden would be campaigning and articulating his effective record to this same extent if he were just trying to keep himself from being a lame duck. There is still time for party leaders to intervene and for Joe and Jill Biden to think about this some more. Of course, that window will close by the end of the year.

What we need to be attending to now is how to take full advantage of the pro-choice groundswell, the two next Trump indictments and the unabated Republican internal battles to put more states in play for the 2024 elections.

While we consider which states to strive to add to our column in the 2024 presidential elections, let’s remember where we need to hold onto to states that we narrowly won. These include Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. In each of these states, Donald Trump got more than 47% of the vote.

States that Democrats could put back in play are difficult but intriguing. 
  • In North Carolina we just missed picking up a Senate seat with former State Supreme Court justice Cheri Beasley as well as almost securing the electoral vote for Joe Biden. Barack Obama won North Carolina in 2008 and we have lost narrowly ever since. The state’s demographics are changing to our advantage, as is the intense battle over choice, where Republican legislators have overridden Governor Roy Cooper’s veto of their restrictive law.
  • In Ohio, we have suffered an impermanent shift in what was once a major swing state. What is providing new opportunity is the battle over choice. Ohioans for Reproductive Rights are certain to get a pro-choice initiative on the ballot in November. The Republican controlled State Legislature is trying to stack the deck in putting up an initiative in August to require the November vote pass with 60% rather than 50%. That sudden change of view of Republicans on protecting the sanctity of the initiative process is likely to fail.
  • Florida is not nearly the Republican stronghold that DeSantis wants you to believe. He beat the waning Charlie Crist handily, but Joe Biden got 47.9% of the presidential vote. Republicans have since overplayed their hands in their bizarre whatever-DeSantis-proposes legislative agenda.
  • Texas has promise. The renewed effort to beat Ted Cruz is attracting good candidates, political organizers, and money. Here demographics are also in Democrat’s favor. In the last twenty years, Texas’ population has increased by 8.3 million people, and 7.6 million of those are non-white.
With all that incentive to seize the day, let’s do these three things.

1) Target North Carolina with Mi Familia Vota
In recent elections, Mi Familia Vota has played an enormous role in mobilizing Latino voters in such highly contested states as Arizona and Nevada, where readers of this missive extended them over $20,000 in extra support in 2022. It is very exciting news that they are now expanding their efforts to North Carolina, where there are over a million Latinos. Because we lost by only 1.34% in 2020, these are electoral votes that we can win by investing in more intensive organizing right now.

Mi Familia Vota can receive 501(c)(3) charitable donations for allowable educational purposes. At this point, instead they most need political donations so they can go to the heart of the matter. Utilizing their flagship #Basta program, they will kick off their new efforts in North Carolina to engage progressive Latino voters with a communication campaign targeting extremist state legislators, especially those who have sponsored anti-immigrant bills. They are emphasizing the Congressional Districts where we have the best chance to pick up a seat. There is no better political investment to get ready for 2024 than to boost Mi Familia Vota in North Carolina. In this missive, we pledge to immediately raise $15,000 to give Mi Familia Vota a strong and immediate boost, please click here to add your contribution. We have already secured the first $500 donation!

2) 
Lose Cruz
The Lose Cruz PAC to defeat Ted Cruz has already launched, aiming to take advantage of Cruz’ trip to Cancun during Texas’ epic storm, among other things. The advantage of giving to a PAC early is it allows for campaign advertising well in advance of when the Democratic Senatorial candidate is selected. Learn more about this PAC here. A strong candidate for Senator will also be helpful in our effort to win the Presidential electoral votes. 

3) 
Pitch in For Ohio
It isn’t too late to write postcards to entreat voters to reject Ohio’s effort to increase from 50% to 60% the percentage of voters needed to approve an initiative. This effort is the worst sort of politics, since the Republican Party would be dead set against this plan were it not for the chance to restrict a woman’s right to choose. Get your postcard list from the Blue Wave Postcard Movement, which has sent over 5 million personalized postcards since its inception.

If you are taking the summer off from America’s political challenges, please reconsider the consequences.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington